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Tag: Ole Miss Rebels

  • Sooner or Later: Oklahoma Meets Its Last SEC Stranger

    Sooner or Later: Oklahoma Meets Its Last SEC Stranger

    Oklahoma has met 14 of the SEC’s other 15 teams. Mississippi State is the last, and Saturday’s first-ever meeting comes with a Bulldogs head coach, athletic director, three assistants, an analyst and three players who all have Oklahoma ties.

    By T-Rohn, Gridiron Gumbo ยท Posted Oct. 24, 2026

    CONFIRMED: Oklahoma (3-3, 1-2 SEC) at Mississippi State (4-2, 2-2), 2:30 p.m. CT Saturday on SEC Network; this being the first-ever meeting and Mississippi State being the only SEC program OU has never played; the availability statuses below, including Kamario Taylor, Fluff Bothwell and Zakari Tillman not appearing on the list, per the SEC’s official game-day availability report (posted 1:00 p.m. CT Saturday, Oct. 24; read on the SEC’s site at 1:05 p.m. CT); Mississippi State dropping out of the AP Top 25 after its 31-0 loss at LSU; the Texas series results and Texas’s Oct. 31 game against Mississippi State; the Oklahoma ties of the coaches, athletic director and players; the DraftKings numbers in the odds snapshot. REPORTED: that quarterback Kamario Taylor and running back Fluff Bothwell will be available (unnamed sources, via ESPN’s Pete Thamel, in a story last updated 10:48 a.m. CT Saturday); On3’s report from Chris Low and Pete Nakos on Friday that Taylor was expected to play; Taylor missing the LSU game and Lebby’s “day-to-day” comment (Field Level Media, via CBS Sports); Lebby’s quotes (On3 and The Commercial Dispatch); Stoops’s quotes (Clarion Ledger, via USA TODAY Network); Bates’s quote and the tempo numbers (247Sports, citing TruMedia); and Tanner Schafer’s walk-on background (USA TODAY Network), each a single-outlet item. Sources are listed at the end.

    Midway through its third SEC season, Oklahoma has one blank page left in the passport.

    TAKE (joke):Getting from Norman to Starkville is easy. Head east until the wheat turns into pine trees, keep going until your phone stops pretending it knows where you are, then ask the first man at a gas station. He’ll say it’s “just up the road,” which in Mississippi is a unit of measurement.

    “Mississippi State is the lone SEC program Oklahoma has never played in football,” OU’s official game notes say.1 Mississippi State’s notes put it the same way: Saturday’s meeting “will be the first on a football field between Mississippi State and Oklahoma.”2 Field Level Media, in a preview carried by CBS Sports, calls it the “first-ever meeting.”3

    Fourteen of 15 checked off. One left.

    TAKE (joke):OU joined the league in 2024 and is just now meeting Mississippi State. That’s like marrying into a Cajun family and not meeting Nonc Boo until the third Thanksgiving. He’s been out back frying turkeys the whole time, cher. You just never walked that far.

    Here’s the kicker. Texas, which joined the SEC the same day as OU (July 1, 2024),1 has already played Mississippi State twice: a 35-13 Longhorns win in Austin on Sept. 28, 2024, and a 45-38 overtime win in Starkville on Oct. 25, 2025.4 The Bulldogs visit Austin again next Saturday, Oct. 31, at 6:30 p.m. CT.5, 6 Next weekend, then, Texas will have faced State three seasons in a row. Oklahoma will have faced them once.

    TAKE (joke):Texas and Mississippi State are practically cousins at this point. OU and Mississippi State are two folks at the same crawfish boil who keep nodding at each other across the table but never actually got introduced.

    The Strangers Aren’t Really Strangers

    The two programs have never shared a field. But walk the Mississippi State sideline Saturday and an OU fan might feel right at home.

    TAKE (joke):Starkville on game day has exactly one traffic plan: everybody goes to the same place, slowly, and nobody gets mad until somebody takes the shortcut everybody else already took.

    The head coach. Jeff Lebby signed with Oklahoma as an offensive lineman in the 2002 class.1, 7 An injury ended his playing career, and he stayed on for four years as a student assistant.1, 2 He is a 2007 OU graduate.2 He returned in 2022 and 2023 as offensive coordinator under Brent Venables, and OU’s notes credit his 2023 offense with the No. 3 spot nationally in total offense (507.0 yards a game) and No. 4 in scoring (41.7 points a game); USA TODAY Network lists the same two ranks.1, 8 Mississippi State named him head coach on Nov. 26, 2023.2

    Lebby said Monday that Stoops “was kind enough” to keep him on scholarship as a student assistant after the injury, and that’s “what got me into (coaching).”9 Asked whether Saturday carries extra personal weight, Lebby said no. He told reporters the game “means a ton” because it’s another chance at an SEC win and a 5-2 record, The Commercial Dispatch of Columbus, Miss., reported.7

    Stoops, the coach who signed him, told the Clarion Ledger he “loved watching him here at OU” and that Lebby’s success is “not surprising to me,” as quoted by USA TODAY Network.8, 10

    The athletic director. Zac Selmon, Mississippi State’s AD, is a Norman native who worked in OU’s athletic department as senior associate AD and later deputy AD.1, 7 His family name has deep roots in Norman: his father is Dewey Selmon, a College Football Hall of Famer, and his uncles are Lucious Selmon, a unanimous All-American in 1973, and Lee Roy Selmon, who is enshrined in both the college and pro halls.1

    TAKE (joke):Hiring a Selmon to run your athletic department, then having the SEC send Oklahoma to your stadium, is like moving to Breaux Bridge, getting a Boudreaux to run your kitchen, then watching the whole Boudreaux family show up for supper. Somebody’s gonna get emotional and somebody’s gonna check the roux.

    The offensive line coach. Phil Loadholt played tackle at OU in 2007 and 2008, when the Sooners went 23-5 and took the Big 12 title both years.1 He earned first-team all-league honors as a senior and came back to Norman as an offensive analyst in 2022 and 2023.

    The tight ends coach. Jon Cooper, Mississippi State’s tight ends coach and run game coordinator, played center for OU from 2005 to 2008.1 He made second-team All-Big 12 in 2008, was part of three league title teams under Stoops and served as an OU offensive analyst in 2022.

    The quarterbacks coach. Kevin Johns arrived at OU in 2024 as an offensive analyst and was elevated to co-offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach in October 2024, per OU’s announcement on Oct. 20, 2024.11 He coached quarterbacks at Oklahoma State in 2025, and Mississippi State announced his hire on Dec. 28, 2025.12 MSU’s notes list him as the Bulldogs’ quarterbacks coach.2

    The analyst. Tanner Schafer is a quarterback analyst on Mississippi State’s staff.2 USA TODAY Network describes him as a former walk-on quarterback for the Sooners.8

    The players. OU’s notes count three former Sooners on Mississippi State’s roster, and Mississippi State’s notes mark Dolby and Ragins as Oklahoma transfers.1, 2 Wide receiver Zion Ragins, a redshirt sophomore from Macon, Ga., has started all six games and has 12 catches for 188 yards and four touchdowns.2 Safety Kendel Dolby, a sixth-year player from Springfield, Ohio, has 27 tackles and made his first start of the season at LSU.2 Offensive lineman Isaiah Dent, a redshirt sophomore from Fulton, Miss., was at OU in 2024 and 2025,1 and has appeared in five games with no starts.2

    Count them up: a head coach, an AD, three assistant coaches, an analyst and three players. That’s at least nine people with documented OU ties on one side of a game between two schools that have never met, by our count of the schools’ notes, releases and news reports.

    TAKE (joke):Nine people with Oklahoma roots on one sideline means the pregame hugs need a seating chart, a sign-up sheet and somebody’s aunt to explain how everybody is related.

    TAKE (joke):Somebody check the visitors’ locker room. If Mississippi State’s equipment staff left a “Welcome Home” sign up by accident, that’s not a mind game. That’s just Southern manners.

    Familiarity Cuts Both Ways

    Lebby sees the connection running in both directions. “There’s a ton of familiarity both ways,” he said of facing Venables.9 He also ranked Venables among the best defensive play-callers in college football over the past 12 to 15 years.

    Oklahoma associate head coach Todd Bates saw Lebby’s offense up close for two seasons. He described it Tuesday as “almost warp speed at times.”13, 14 Bates stood in for Venables at the weekly press conference.13

    The tempo numbers fit that description. Citing TruMedia, 247Sports reports that Mississippi State snaps the ball every 23.5 seconds, seventh-fastest in FBS and trailing only Auburn and Ole Miss in the SEC. Oklahoma sits at 28.7 seconds, 102nd nationally.13

    TAKE (joke):Lebby’s offense snaps the ball faster than my Mawmaw snaps a green bean. OU’s offense prefers a more relaxed schedule, like a Sunday drive down Highway 90 behind a cane truck.

    Mississippi State’s notes describe the matchup as the SEC’s fourth-best total offense against the league’s second-best total defense.2 OU’s notes show the Sooners allowing 260.7 yards a game (fifth in FBS) and holding opponents to a 25.6 percent third-down conversion rate (second in FBS).1 Mississippi State averages 454.3 yards a game (22nd in FBS).2

    The Availability Report and the Quarterback Question

    The SEC’s official game-day availability report for this game was posted at 1:00 p.m. CT Saturday, Oct. 24, and we read it on the SEC’s site at 1:05 p.m. CT.15 The game-day report replaces Friday’s list (posted 7:10 p.m. CT Oct. 23) and can list only Available, Game Time Decision or Out. The SEC’s policy says Out can cover reasons other than injury.

    • Oklahoma: Out are linebacker Taylor Heim, wide receivers Trell Harris and Elijah Thomas, running back Xavier Robinson, tight end Trynae Washington, defensive backs Eli Bowen and Jacobe Johnson, and offensive linemen Eddy Pierre-Louis and Ryan Fodje. Thomas was doubtful and Bowen was questionable on Friday’s report. Offensive linemen Michael Fasusi and Heath Ozaeta, both questionable on Friday, are not on the game-day list.
    • Mississippi State: Out are safety Isaac Smith, linebacker Jalen Smith, wide receiver Ayden Williams and defensive linemen Trevion Williams and Diesel Moye. No Bulldog is listed as a game-time decision.
    • Not listed: Quarterback Kamario Taylor, who was questionable on Friday’s report, does not appear on the game-day report. Neither do running back Fluff Bothwell (questionable earlier in the week)16 or linebacker Zakari Tillman. Under the SEC’s availability policy, as published by Sports Illustrated, a player who isn’t on the report is regarded as available.17

    Taylor’s status matters because of what he has done when on the field. Mississippi State’s notes say the sophomore from Macon, Miss., leads all SEC quarterbacks at 290.0 passing yards a game and leads the league with 17 touchdown passes, in five games played.2 ESPN says he also leads the SEC in total offense at 321.8 yards a game.18 Field Level Media reported that he missed last week’s 31-0 loss at LSU, and Lebby called his status “day-to-day” on Monday.3

    REPORTED: Sources told ESPN’s Pete Thamel that Taylor and Bothwell will both be available Saturday, in a story ESPN last updated at 10:48 a.m. CT.18 ESPN says Taylor took significantly more practice snaps this week. It lists Bothwell, who has 403 rushing yards, as the team’s leading rusher. On3’s Chris Low and Pete Nakos reported Friday that Taylor was expected to play.16 The SEC’s game-day report, posted at 1:00 p.m. CT, now matches those reports: neither player is on it, which under SEC policy means available.

    (Gridiron Gumbo note: no jokes here. We wish both teams a healthy afternoon.)

    The Cowbells and the Blackout

    Mississippi State’s game notes trace the cowbell’s rocky legal history. In 1974 the SEC banned artificial noisemakers, which put a cowbell out of bounds at games. The conference reached a compromise in spring 2010, and cowbells returned to Davis Wade Stadium that fall on a one-year trial with restrictions, the first time in 36 years. The notes say they have been allowed at home games since, with similar restrictions.2 Saturday is also a blackout, with the Bulldogs in black helmets, jerseys and pants.19

    TAKE (joke):The SEC spent 36 years deciding a cowbell was too loud, and then one compromise and a list of restrictions made it legal again. That’s the most Southern part of this story: nobody won the argument, they just got tired and wrote a rule.

    This is only Oklahoma’s second football trip to Mississippi; the first was a loss at Ole Miss in 2024.1 The Sooners have been solid on the road for years, though: OU’s notes say they’ve won 38 of their last 52 true road games going back to 2014.1

    TAKE (joke):Welcome to Starkville, Sooners. Bring earplugs and an open mind. The cowbell has a 36-year grudge and a lot of free time.

    TAKE (joke):Helmets, jerseys and pants all in one color, with cowbells in the stands. That’s not a uniform. That’s a weather advisory.

    The Odds Snapshot

    As of 1:06 p.m. CT Saturday, Oct. 24, DraftKings listed Oklahoma -1.5 (-112) and Mississippi State +1.5 (-108) on the spread, a game total of 49.5 (over -105, under -115), and moneylines of Oklahoma -122 and Mississippi State +102, per ESPN’s odds feed, matching VegasInsider’s DraftKings column.20 Lines can change before kickoff, and these figures are a snapshot for context, not advice. How Gridiron Gumbo handles betting content: https://gridirongumbo.com/picks-disclaimer/

    21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

    The Bottom Line

    One game doesn’t make a rivalry, and we won’t call this one that. It does start a series, at 2:30 p.m. Saturday, with a head coach who learned the business in Norman, an athletic director from a family with deep Sooner roots, and three former Sooners on the Bulldogs’ roster.

    TAKE (joke):Most rivalries start with a grudge. This one starts with a family reunion, which in the South is where most grudges come from.

    The return trip is already booked. Mississippi State’s notes say the Bulldogs’ first trip to Norman is set for 2028.2

    Oklahoma finally meets the last relative at the table, and both sides already know plenty about each other.

    TAKE (joke):Last stamp in the passport, last cousin at the table and last plate of gumbo in the pot. In Louisiana we call that a good Saturday. In Oklahoma they call it “finally.”


    Sources

    1. Oklahoma Athletics, Game 7 notes, OU at Mississippi State (records, first meeting, “lone SEC program,” Lebby, Selmon, Loadholt, Cooper bios, former OU players on MSU’s roster, second trip to Mississippi, road record, July 1, 2024 SEC entry, defensive rankings): https://soonersports.com/documents/download/2026/10/21/07_OUatMississippi_State.pdf โ†ฉ Back to story
    2. Mississippi State Athletics, game notes vs. Oklahoma (first meeting, 2028 return game, blackout, Lebby bio, staff list incl. Johns and Schafer, roster, Ragins, Dolby and Dent, Taylor stats, offensive rankings, cowbell history): https://static.hailstate.com/custompages/pdf/fb/2026/26FB_1024_OU_Notes.pdf โ†ฉ Back to story
    3. Field Level Media (via CBS Sports), “Oklahoma, Mississippi State face QB questions in first-ever meeting,” Oct. 21, 2026 (Lebby “day-to-day” quote; Taylor missed LSU; first-ever meeting): https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/oklahoma-mississippi-state-face-qb-questions-in-first-ever-meeting/ โ†ฉ Back to story
    4. Mississippi State Athletics, football history vs. Texas (Sept. 28, 2024, and Oct. 25, 2025, meetings): https://hailstate.com/sports/football/opponent-history/texas/145 โ†ฉ Back to story
    5. Texas Athletics, 2026 football schedule (Mississippi State at Texas, Oct. 31, 6:30 p.m. CT): https://texaslonghorns.com/sports/football/schedule/2026 โ†ฉ Back to story
    6. Mississippi State Athletics, 2026 football schedule (at Texas, Oct. 31, 6:30 p.m.): https://hailstate.com/sports/football/schedule/2026 โ†ฉ Back to story
    7. Jake McMahon, The Commercial Dispatch (Columbus, Miss.), “‘A ton of familiarity’: Lebby, MSU football have strong ties to Oklahoma,” Oct. 21, 2026: https://cdispatch.com/sports/a-ton-of-familiarity-lebby-msu-football-have-strong-ties-to-oklahoma/ โ†ฉ Back to story
    8. Austin Curtright, USA TODAY Network, “Oklahoma hasn’t figured out offense since Jeff Lebby left. Now, they face off,” Oct. 24, 2026 (Stoops quotes via the Clarion Ledger; Schafer walk-on detail; OU’s 2023 offensive ranks; readable syndicated copy at Yahoo Sports): https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/oklahoma-hasnt-figured-offense-since-100200727.html (original: https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/ncaaf/sec/2026/10/24/oklahoma-mississippi-state-jeff-lebby-offensive-coordinator/92363696007/) โ†ฉ Back to story
    9. Colin Damms, On3 / Maroon and White Football, “Points of Focus: Mississippi State HC Jeff Lebby speaks on Oklahoma matchup,” Oct. 19, 2026 (Lebby quotes): https://www.on3.com/teams/mississippi-state-bulldogs/news/points-of-focus-mississippi-state-hc-jeff-lebby/ โ†ฉ Back to story
    10. Clarion Ledger (USA TODAY Network), “How Bob Stoops knew Jeff Lebby could coach, even as an Oklahoma freshman,” Oct. 21, 2026 (Stoops quotes; carried by the Hattiesburg American): https://www.hattiesburgamerican.com/story/sports/college/mississippi-state/2026/10/21/jeff-lebby-mississippi-state-oklahoma-bob-stoops/92281866007/ โ†ฉ Back to story
    11. Oklahoma Athletics, “Venables Announces Offensive Coordinator Change,” Oct. 20, 2024 (Johns elevation): https://soonersports.com/news/2024/10/20/football-venables-announces-offensive-coordinator-change โ†ฉ Back to story
    12. Mississippi State Athletics, “Mississippi State Strengthens Offensive Staff With Addition Of Kevin Johns,” Dec. 28, 2025: https://hailstate.com/news/2025/12/28/football-mississippi-state-strengthens-offensive-staff-with-addition-of-kevin-johns โ†ฉ Back to story
    13. Tom Green, 247Sports, “What Oklahoma expects from Jeff Lebby’s Mississippi State offense…,” Oct. 2026 (Bates quote; TruMedia tempo figures): https://247sports.com/college/mississippi-state/article/what-oklahoma-expects-from-jeff-lebby-miss-state-offense-291567601/ โ†ฉ Back to story
    14. Ryan Chapman, Sports Illustrated (OU), “Oklahoma ‘Ready’ for Showdown With Former Offensive Coordinator Jeff Lebby,” Oct. 2026 (Bates quote): https://www.si.com/college/oklahoma/football/oklahoma-ready-for-showdown-with-former-offensive-coordinator-jeff-lebby-01m5gspktgfq โ†ฉ Back to story
    15. SEC Student-Athlete Availability Report, football, “Game Day Report” posted 1:00 p.m. CT Oct. 24, 2026, read 1:05 p.m. CT Oct. 24, 2026 (Friday report posted 7:10 p.m. CT Oct. 23, 2026): https://www.secsports.com/fbreports โ†ฉ Back to story
    16. On3 (Chris Low and Pete Nakos), “Mississippi State QB Kamario Taylor expected to play against Oklahoma,” Oct. 23, 2026 (REPORTED): https://www.on3.com/news/mississippi-state-qb-kamario-taylor-expected-to-play-against-oklahoma/ โ†ฉ Back to story
    17. Sports Illustrated, “SEC Announces Policies and Procedures for New Availability Report” (SEC policy text: players not on a report are regarded as available): https://www.si.com/college/oklahoma/football/sec-announces-policies-and-procedures-for-new-availability-report-01j6ytq381jt โ†ฉ Back to story
    18. ESPN (Pete Thamel; Max Olson contributed), “Sources: Mississippi State eyes return for QB Taylor, RB Bothwell,” first posted 8:25 a.m. ET (7:25 a.m. CT) Oct. 24, 2026, last updated 11:48 a.m. ET (10:48 a.m. CT) (Taylor and Bothwell, REPORTED; Taylor’s 321.8 total-offense figure; Bothwell’s 403 rushing yards): https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/50265129/sources-mississippi-state-eyes-return-taylor-bothwell โ†ฉ Back to story
    19. Mississippi State Athletics, “State Hosts Sooners On Saturday At Davis Wade Stadium,” Oct. 23, 2026 (kickoff, SEC Network, blackout, first meeting): https://hailstate.com/news/2026/10/23/football-state-hosts-sooners-on-saturday-at-davis-wade-stadium โ†ฉ Back to story
    20. ESPN odds feed (DraftKings), Oklahoma at Mississippi State, checked 1:06 p.m. CT Oct. 24, 2026 (cross-checked against VegasInsider’s DraftKings column): https://www.espn.com/college-football/game/_/gameId/401856730 โ†ฉ Back to story
    21. Gridiron Gumbo, picks and betting disclaimer: https://gridirongumbo.com/picks-disclaimer/
    22. Maura Carey, Associated Press (via Yahoo Sports), “SEC Week 8: No. 7 Ole Miss heads to No. 19 Texas…,” Oct. 23, 2026 (Mississippi State dropped out of the rankings after its loss to LSU): https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/sec-week-8-no-7-003338959.html
  • No. 7 Ole Miss at No. 19 Texas: Rebels Bring the Offense, Horns Bring the Defense and a Short Edge Room

    No. 7 Ole Miss at No. 19 Texas: Rebels Bring the Offense, Horns Bring the Defense and a Short Edge Room

    Ole Miss scores 37.5 a game. Texas allows 17.8. Something has to give Saturday night in Austin.

    By T-Rohn, Gridiron Gumbo ยท Posted Oct. 23, 2026

    CONFIRMED: kickoff, TV, records, rankings (official game notes and schedules), stats (ESPN, pulled Oct. 22, 2026), Wesley, Simmons, Smothers, Lockett and Chatman out for Texas, and both availability lists (official SEC game-day availability report, posted 5:00 p.m. CT Saturday, Oct. 24). REPORTED: Wesley’s injury type and timeline (OrangeBloods via Saturday Down South); Simmons’ ankle sprain (247Sports); betting line (DraftKings, as of 5:11 p.m. CT Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026, per ESPN’s DraftKings odds feed, matched against VegasInsider’s DraftKings column).

    Updated Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026, 8:12 a.m. CT: injury lists now follow the SEC’s Friday report, and the line is DraftKings as of 8:12 a.m. CT Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026.

    Updated Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026, 11:11 a.m. CT: the DraftKings total moved from 53.5 to 54.5 and Texas -3 is now priced -115 (was -112); see the line in the body below.

    Updated Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026, 5:11 p.m. CT: availability now follows the SEC’s game-day report (posted 5:00 p.m. CT). Ole Miss OL Terez Davis is a game-time decision, Texas DB Kobe Black is newly listed as a game-time decision, and Texas OL Jackson Christian, Texas RB Derrek Cooper and Ole Miss OL Brycen Sanders are not on the report, which means they are available. DraftKings re-checked at 5:11 p.m. CT: Texas -3 (-112), total 54.5 (Over -110 / Under -110), moneylines Texas -148 / Ole Miss +124.

    The short version: Ole Miss (5-1, 3-1 SEC, through Week 7) comes to Austin averaging 37.5 points a game. Texas (4-2, 1-2 SEC) has the stingier defense but has dropped two straight.

    A win keeps Ole Miss near the top of the SEC race. For Texas, it’s the best chance to steady a wobbling season.

    When and where to watch

    • Kickoff: Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026, 6:30 p.m. CT (7:30 p.m. ET) on ABC
    • Expected kick: about 6:49 p.m. CT, per Texas’ game notes
    • Site: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin

    Getting to DKR on a Saturday night takes three things: patience, a full tank and a working knowledge of every MoPac exit since 2009.

    Sources: Texas Athletics schedule, Ole Miss Athletics, ESPN Press Room. Expected 6:49 kick: Texas’ game notes.

    ABC’s 6:30 window and an expected 6:49 kick give Austin 19 bonus minutes to argue about which brisket line is shortest.

    Records and rankings (through Week 7)

    Ole MissTexas
    Overall5-14-2
    SEC3-11-2
    AP / CoachesNo. 7 / No. 7No. 19 / No. 18

    Oxford brings the seersucker, Austin brings the breakfast tacos, and both towns bring a lawn chair to a parking spot they’ve held since Thursday.

    Source: Texas game notes. Texas’ 4-2 record (six games played) was rechecked Oct. 23 against Texas’ official schedule and cumulative stats.

    By the numbers

    Stat, through Week 7 (per game unless noted)Ole MissTexas
    Total offense (yards)444.5362.3
    Total defense (yards allowed)390.0272.5
    Points scored37.530.2
    Points allowed23.817.8
    Turnover margin (season)-1+1

    Source: ESPN team statistics for Ole Miss and Texas, 2026 regular season through Week 7 (six games each). Pulled Oct. 22, 2026.

    The quick read: Ole Miss gains about 80 more yards a game. Texas gives up about 120 fewer. Both are close to even in turnovers.

    Ole Miss treats yardage like a buffet. Texas treats it like a reservation-only tasting menu with a dress code.

    It’s the classic gumbo debate: one cook swears by more spice, the other swears by a slower simmer. Somebody’s grandmother is going to be right.

    Who’s out (official, plus reports)

    CONFIRMED by the SEC’s official game-day availability report, posted at 5:00 p.m. CT Saturday, Oct. 24, 90 minutes before kickoff. The game-day report lists only Available, Game Time Decision or Out, and the SEC says a player not on the report is regarded as available. Out can also cover non-injury reasons.

    • Texas, out: EDGE Colin Simmons, RB Hollywood Smothers, WR Kaliq Lockett, OL Jaydon Chatman and EDGE Richard Wesley. All five were also out on Friday’s report (posted 7:10 p.m. CT Oct. 23).
    • Texas, game-time decision: DB Kobe Black, who is new on the report.
    • Ole Miss, out (eight): WR Izaiah Hartrup, S Edwin Joseph, S MJ Preston, LB Ant Davis Jr., CB Pat Broomfield, WR Kervin Johnson Jr., S Nascar McCoy and OL Emanuel Faulkner, the same eight as Friday.
    • Ole Miss, game-time decision: OL Terez Davis, the starting left tackle, who was questionable on Friday’s report.
    • Available (not on the game-day report): Texas OL Jackson Christian (questionable Friday) and RB Derrek Cooper (probable Friday); Ole Miss OL Brycen Sanders, the starting center (probable Friday).

    Wednesday’s first report, via 247Sports and Yahoo Sports, listed Ole Miss RB Kewan Lacy as probable. Lacy is not listed on Thursday’s or Friday’s official report or on Saturday’s game-day report, which means he is available.

    REPORTED: Simmons sprained an ankle in last week’s 27-24 loss to Florida, per 247Sports.

    REPORTED: Wesley has a high ankle sprain, and there are concerns he could miss the rest of the regular season, per OrangeBloods’ Anwar Richardson, as relayed by Saturday Down South. Texas has not confirmed the injury or a timeline.

    Under SEC policy, updates are due Thursday and Friday evenings and a final report no later than 90 minutes before kickoff. For this game, the SEC posted it at 5:00 p.m. CT.

    Sarkisian on Manning

    Asked about Arch Manning after back-to-back losses, Steve Sarkisian called his quarterback “edgy” and said Manning “has to fight back,” per Saturday Down South, citing reporter CJ Vogel.

    Austin heard “edgy” and immediately opened a food truck called that.

    3 keys to the game

    1. Who chases the quarterback? With Wesley and Simmons both out, Texas has to generate pressure from other edge rushers. Saturday Down South says Zina Umeozulu, Lance Jackson and Colton Vasek will handle most of the edge work.
    2. Yards vs. points. Ole Miss gains 444.5 yards and scores 37.5 points a game. Texas allows 272.5 yards and 17.8 points. Something gives. Our take: whoever turns drives into touchdowns, not field goals, wins the night.
    3. Close-game finishes. Texas lost to Florida by three last week. Clean late-game execution matters more than usual.

    The SEC’s game-day report posted at 5:00 p.m. CT, and the lists above follow it.

    What’s at stake in the SEC race

    Ole Miss is 3-1 in the league, and a win in Austin keeps it in the thick of the race.

    Texas is 1-2 and not out of it, but a third SEC loss would make the title path much harder. A home win over a top-10 team is the Horns’ best way to get the season back on track.

    Rebels fans already have the Grove tent folded, the trip planned and the Atlanta hotel bookmarked in a tab they swear they’ll close.

    For one fan base, Saturday is a statement. For the other, it’s a fire drill with a marching band.

    The line

    REPORTED: As of 5:11 p.m. CT Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026, DraftKings listed Texas -3 (-112), total 54.5 (Over -110 / Under -110), moneylines Texas -148 / Ole Miss +124 (ESPN’s DraftKings odds feed; the VegasInsider odds board showed the same DraftKings numbers when both were checked at 5:11 p.m. CT; at 11:11 a.m. CT DraftKings had Texas -3 (-115), total 54.5 (Over -105 / Under -115) and moneylines Texas -155 / Ole Miss +130, and at 8:12 a.m. CT it had Texas -3 (-112) and the total at 53.5, Over -115 / Under -105). Lines move. Check your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

    A field goal, a total in the 50s and a late-October Austin forecast that still says “patio weather, probably.”

    Bottom line: A 37.5-point offense meets a 17.8-point defense, and Texas may have to slow it down without Wesley, Simmons or Smothers. Bring a spoon. This one’s going to simmer.


    Picks and lines are for entertainment. Read our picks disclaimer.

  • The Kid From Missouri City Wants Missouri’s Halloween: Arkansas Gets Chris Marshall Back and Hands the Punt Job to an Aussie

    The Kid From Missouri City Wants Missouri’s Halloween: Arkansas Gets Chris Marshall Back and Hands the Punt Job to an Aussie

    The SEC’s top two receivers in yards meet Oct. 31 in Fayetteville. One of them grew up in Missouri City, Texas. The other plays for Missouri. And Arkansas just changed punters to help settle it.

    By T-Rohn, Gridiron Gumbo ยท Posted Oct. 22, 2026

    CONFIRMED: Arkansas 31, Vanderbilt 21, records (Arkansas 3-4, 1-3 SEC) and the Vanderbilt box score per AP/ESPN; Oct. 31 kickoff, series history and Marshall’s background per Arkansas Athletics; Missouri’s record and Ole Miss result per Missouri Athletics; Silverfield’s Marshall update and the punter change per the Southwest Times Record and Arkansas Democrat-Gazette, with the Marshall update also reported by On3 and SI. REPORTED: details credited to single outlets (Southwest Times Record, Arkansas Democrat-Gazette, On3, SI, cfbstats.com) in text.

    Down on the bayou, we’ve got a rule about Halloween: Nobody shows up in costume to somebody else’s party unless they plan on taking the candy.

    Arkansas plans to take the candy.

    TAKE (joke): Missouri, for its part, plans to leave with the bowl and the porch light.

    TAKE (joke): The Hogs have a week off, a receiver on the way back, a new punter and a costume party at home. Mais, that’s the most optimism Fayetteville has had since somebody found an extra bag of ice under the tailgate.

    Arkansas expects Chris Marshall back for Missouri. We looked at who he’ll be lining up across from, where he grew up and what Arkansas looks like with and without him. Halloween night comes with a twist.

    The Update

    Arkansas coach Ryan Silverfield gave a short, upbeat update on Wednesday during the open week. “(Marshall’s) doing well,” he said. “Yeah, we have every thought and faith that he’ll be ready to go for the Missouri game,” per the Southwest Times Record. On3’s HawgBeat and SI’s All Hogs reported the same quote.

    Here’s the injury news, straight: Marshall hurt his right leg in the first quarter at Vanderbilt and was seen with a trainer during breaks, the Times Record reported. He left for good after a 28-yard catch on a screen late in the second quarter, according to the Times Record and On3. On3 reported he watched the second half from the sideline in street clothes.

    That 28-yard grab was his only catch of the night. He still sits second in the SEC with 633 receiving yards, per Sports-Reference and On3. The Times Record ranks those yards 11th nationally.

    TAKE (joke): Eleventh in the nation. That’s higher than any Fayetteville hill a 2009 Pontiac Aztek has ever made it up in January.

    The Twist: Who’s No. 1?

    The only SEC receiver with more yards than Marshall? Missouri’s Cayden Lee, with 678 on 47 catches and five touchdowns, per Sports-Reference and cfbstats.com.

    So Halloween night in Fayetteville puts the SEC’s No. 1 and No. 2 receivers on the same field. Then it gets better.

    Marshall is from Missouri City, Texas, per Arkansas Athletics. He played his high school ball at Fort Bend Marshall. Yes: Marshall from Marshall, out of Missouri City, trying to beat Missouri.

    TAKE (joke): Cher, that’s not a matchup. That’s a riddle my Mawmaw would tell at the boucherie, then refuse to explain until you took a second plate of boudin.

    One more crossover: Lee played at Ole Miss from 2023 to 2025, per Missouri Athletics and Sports-Reference. Marshall spent the spring 2023 semester in Oxford too, per Arkansas’ official bio. Small SEC.

    TAKE (joke): Oxford, Fayetteville, Columbia. The SEC isn’t a conference anymore. It’s a group text with a roster.

    The Long Road to 633

    Marshall’s rรฉsumรฉ reads like a Cajun road trip: lots of stops, all of them worth it. According to his official Arkansas bio, he started at Texas A&M in 2022, spent the spring 2023 semester at Ole Miss, caught 21 passes for 449 yards and five touchdowns at Kilgore College in 2023, then went to Boise State. The same bio credits him with 574 yards on 30 catches for the Broncos in 2025.

    Seven games into 2026 he already has 633, per cfbstats.com. His biggest nights came at home: 136 yards against Georgia and 195 against Tulsa.

    TAKE (joke): Those two games drew the kind of home crowd you usually only see at a Fayetteville stoplight on Dickson Street: loud, proud and not moving for anybody.

    One more number: Arkansas has 1,620 passing yards as a team, per cfbstats.com. Marshall has 633 of them. That’s about 39% of the Hogs’ passing offense coming from one man.

    TAKE (joke): That’s not a No. 1 receiver. That’s the roux. Everything else in the pot is just waiting on him.

    What Happened Without Him

    Arkansas found out at Vanderbilt. With Marshall gone since late in the second quarter, the Hogs outscored Vanderbilt 17-7 in the second half and won 31-21, snapping a 14-game SEC losing streak, per the AP recap on ESPN. It was Arkansas’ first SEC win since 2024 and the first in the league for Silverfield.

    KJ Jackson went 21-of-31 for 251 yards with no interceptions, per AP. The ESPN box score shows 12 different Razorbacks catching passes. Sophomore Antonio Jordan led the way with career highs of five catches for 74 yards, per the Times Record, On3 and the box score.

    The Arkansas Democrat-Gazette noted Jackson’s 67.7% completion rate was well above the 59.8% he carried into the game.

    TAKE (joke): A jump from 59.8% to 67.7% in one night. Somewhere a Missouri defensive coordinator just set his coffee down, picked up his clipboard and moved his Halloween plans to Tuesday.

    Silverfield said it’s “hard to blame” Jackson for looking Marshall’s way, but said the quarterback has to “trust the full reads,” per SI’s All Hogs.

    TAKE (joke): Translation: When your best friend has the truck, you call him first. But it’s nice to learn your cousin has a truck too.

    The Punter Switch

    Now the leg. Silverfield named Cal Poly transfer Jesse Ehrlich the starting punter, with Gavin Rush backing him up, according to the Times Record and the Democrat-Gazette.

    “Right now, Jesse’s the starting punter, and Gavin’s going to back him up,” Silverfield said, per the Democrat-Gazette.

    The numbers explain why. At Vanderbilt, Ehrlich came in at halftime and punted twice for 51 and 42 yards, the Democrat-Gazette reported. The ESPN box score backs that up: two punts, 46.5-yard average, one touchback and one inside the 20. On the season he has three punts for 147 yards in two games, a 49.0 average, per cfbstats.com (through Oct. 21). That means his other punt, in an earlier game, went 54 yards.

    As a team, Arkansas averages 40.45 yards per punt, compared with 43.90 for its opponents, per cfbstats.com. Missouri’s punters average 44.76, per cfbstats.com. In a game where the Hogs need every blade of grass, a few yards a kick adds up.

    Ehrlich is a fifth-year left-footer from Cal Poly, per the Democrat-Gazette. ESPN lists Melbourne, Australia, as his birthplace, and the Times Record also reported he’s from Australia.

    TAKE (joke): Melbourne to Fayetteville is a fair hike. He’s swapped beaches for the Ozarks, the ocean for Beaver Lake and the Southern Hemisphere for Waffle House hash browns that come smothered, covered and, somehow, in a hurry.

    Silverfield made a point of saying specialists have their ups and downs week to week. Rush, who has handled 27 of Arkansas’ 31 punts this season per cfbstats.com, is still right there as the backup. (The 31st is a 14-yard punt credited to “Team.”)

    TAKE (joke): Arkansas went to Australia for a punter. Down here we’d have just asked the guy at the crawfish boil who can throw a cooler the farthest, but sure, Melbourne works too.

    TAKE (joke): Welcome to Arkansas, Jesse. Learn the Hog call, learn the back roads and learn that in October the weather here changes faster than the punt depth chart.

    What’s at Stake

    Missouri (5-2, 2-2 SEC) is coming off a 31-3 loss at Ole Miss, per Missouri Athletics. It dropped from No. 13 to No. 22 in the AP poll, SI reported. The Tigers are 4-0 at home and 1-2 away from Columbia, per cfbstats.com, with both losses coming in SEC road games.

    SI’s All Hogs reported Missouri is allowing 263.8 passing yards per game against SEC opponents. That’s a door Marshall would love to walk through.

    But Missouri brings plenty of firepower of its own. Lee and Donovan Olugbode (534 yards) give the Tigers two of the SEC’s top five receivers by yards, per cfbstats.com (through Oct. 21).

    The history isn’t in Arkansas’ favor. Missouri leads the Battle Line Rivalry 13-4, per Arkansas Athletics. The Hogs haven’t beaten the Tigers since a 34-17 win on Nov. 26, 2021. This will be the 18th meeting, the sixth in Fayetteville and the first night game between the two ever played in Arkansas.

    Note: Records differ by source. Arkansas Athletics lists Missouri up 13-4 with this as the 18th meeting, while 247Sports lists 12-4 and the 17th meeting. We go with the school’s official count.

    TAKE (joke): Missouri fans will remind you of that 13-4 record at the gas station, the grocery store and the dentist’s chair, mid-cleaning.

    The math is simple. At 3-4 with five games left, Arkansas needs three more wins to reach bowl eligibility. Missouri’s next four after this one are Texas, at Georgia, Kentucky and Oklahoma.

    TAKE (joke): Meanwhile, Columbia traffic on a game day is the only thing in mid-Missouri slower than a Kansas City barbecue argument ending.

    TAKE (joke): For Arkansas, Halloween is a must-win. For Missouri, it’s the only weekend on the rest of the calendar that isn’t a haunted house.

    Up Next

    Missouri at Arkansas, Saturday, Oct. 31, 6:45 p.m. Central on SEC Network, at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, per Arkansas Athletics.

    The SEC’s top two receivers. A hometown riddle. A punter from Melbourne. Laissez les bons temps rouler, y’all. Just don’t eat all the candy before kickoff.

  • Ole Miss QB AJ Maddox Arrested on Simple Domestic Violence Charge

    Ole Miss QB AJ Maddox Arrested on Simple Domestic Violence Charge

    The 21-year-old quarterback, listed fourth on Ole Miss’s quarterback depth chart, was booked early Tuesday on a simple domestic violence charge, according to county jail records.

    By T-Rohn, Gridiron Gumbo ยท Posted Oct. 20, 2026, afternoon CT

    The news, straight up

    CONFIRMED: Ole Miss quarterback Anthony “AJ” Maddox was arrested Tuesday, Oct. 20, on a charge of simple domestic violence, according to Lafayette County Sheriff’s Office records cited by the Clarion Ledger, SuperTalk Mississippi and On3. Per On3, he was booked at 6:41 a.m. local time.

    CONFIRMED: The booking information says Maddox is accused of attempting “by physical menace to put a domestic victim in fear of imminent serious bodily harm,” per On3 and the Clarion Ledger. No other details had been released at press time.

    Not yet official: As of 3:15 PM CT Tuesday, we had not found a statement from Ole Miss or from Maddox or his representatives about the arrest or his status with the team. A charge is an accusation, not a conviction, and Maddox is presumed innocent.

    Update (Oct. 22, 2026): As of Oct. 22, Ole Miss has not issued a statement. We checked olemisssports.com, Ole Miss athletics’ X accounts and news coverage; the Daily Journal reported Ole Miss did not immediately respond to its request for comment.

    Where he fits on the roster

    REPORTED: Maddox is fourth on Ole Miss’s quarterback depth chart this season (fourth-string, not his jersey number; he wears No. 14), behind starter Trinidad Chambliss, Deuce Knight and Walker Howard, according to On3. He has not appeared in a game this season; in 2025 he got into two games, and his lone completion was a 19-yard pass against The Citadel, per the Clarion Ledger. The Rebels’ starting lineup is not expected to change because of this.

    Maddox signed with Ole Miss in the 2024 class as a four-star prospect out of Oak Grove High in Hattiesburg, Miss., ranked the No. 13 player in the state and No. 26 quarterback nationally by the Rivals Industry Ranking, per On3.

    We’ll update this story when Ole Miss comments or the case moves forward.

    How we label news: CONFIRMED = official records or statements, or two or more major outlets. REPORTED = one credible outlet or reporter. RUMOR = unverified chatter.

    Sources

    Updated (Oct. 22, 2026): Added that Ole Miss has not issued a statement as of Oct. 22.

  • Bowl Gumbo, Second Stir: Ole Miss Jumps in the Playoff Pot, Texas Falls Out, and Where Every SEC Team Is Headed

    Bowl Gumbo, Second Stir: Ole Miss Jumps in the Playoff Pot, Texas Falls Out, and Where Every SEC Team Is Headed

    Gridiron Gumbo original projections โ€” Tuesday, Oct. 20, 2026, after the Oct. 17 games (Week 7). Second stir of the pot; last week’s Early Bowl Gumbo is here. Disclosure: your humble cook still bleeds maroon and rings a cowbell (Mississippi State). State got graded like everybody else, and after Saturday in Baton Rouge, that is not a favor.

    Last week we had four SEC teams in the Playoff Pot. Then the No. 1 team in the country lost at home to an unranked Auburn, Tennessee sat on Alabama for four quarters, and Florida walked into Austin and walked out with a win. The AP’s top team has now lost in back-to-back weeks to unranked opponents, which NCAA.com says has happened only five times ever. (CONFIRMED) So we dumped the whole pot out on the newspaper and started over.

    How we cooked it

    These are our picks, not a copy or an average of anybody else’s bowl projections. Ingredients, all pulled Oct. 20:

    • Records and results through the Oct. 17 games (ESPN standings, cross-checked against the CollegeFootballData.com game log).
    • Ratings: ESPN FPI (updated Oct. 20) and SP+ (via CollegeFootballData.com). Both measure points above an average team.
    • The Gumbo Model: we average each SEC team’s FPI and SP+ rating, give the home team 2.5 points, turn every remaining game into a win probability and simulate the rest of the season 20,000 times. Projected records below are those simulated wins rounded, not a game-by-game “favorite always wins” list (that would have LSU going 10-2, which happens in only 14% of our sims).
    • The AP poll (Oct. 18). The CFP committee’s first rankings don’t come out until Tuesday, Nov. 3, so the AP poll and the ratings stand in for now. (CONFIRMED)

    The rules of the pot (re-checked this week):

    • CFP: Still 12 teams for 2026-27. The ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC champions get in, plus the highest-ranked champion from the other conferences, plus the next seven highest-ranked teams. The top four ranked teams get first-round byes. (CONFIRMED)
    • SEC ladder: The Citrus Bowl takes the best SEC team left after the Playoff. Next is the “pool of six” (ReliaQuest, Gator, Music City, Texas, Las Vegas, Liberty), which the SEC slots with the schools and bowls while avoiding repeat trips. Birmingham and Gasparilla pick after that. Bowl tie-ins were carried over from 2025 for this one season, and 2026 is the SEC’s turn in Las Vegas in its rotation with the Duke’s Mayo Bowl. (CONFIRMED)
    Cartoon critters fighting over a gold trophy in a giant gumbo pot under the words Playoff Pot

    The Playoff Pot (CFP summary)

    • Georgia โ€” SEC champion, top-four seed with a first-round bye. We have Georgia beating Tennessee in Atlanta.
    • Tennessee โ€” at-large after losing the SEC title game. Projected 9-3 in the regular season.
    • Ole Miss โ€” at-large. Projected 9-3. New this week.
    • Alabama โ€” at-large, the last SEC team in. Projected 9-3, and the bubble is right under its feet.
    • First team out: Texas. FPI and SP+ still rate the Longhorns as a top-eight team, but they’re 1-2 in the league. Saturday’s Ole Miss at Texas game is basically a trade: the winner probably takes the spot.

    TAKE: Four SEC teams is our call, same number as last week, with two new names. The SEC has nine teams in the AP Top 25, but the highest is Georgia at No. 5, behind Miami, BYU, Ohio State and Notre Dame. That’s a lot of competition for seven at-large spots, so a fifth SEC team would need chaos somewhere else.

    Who Moved

    • โ–ฒ Ole Miss: Citrus โ†’ CFP at-large. Beat Missouri 31-3 and jumped to No. 7 in the AP poll. 63% of our sims end with 9 or more wins.
    • โ–ผ Texas: CFP at-large โ†’ Texas Bowl. Lost to Oklahoma, then 27-24 at home to Florida. Two league losses in a nine-game SEC schedule leaves no room for error.
    • โ–ฒ Tennessee: last team in โ†’ SEC title game plus a safe at-large spot. Beat Alabama 26-10 and has the league’s second-best path to Atlanta in our sims (34%).
    • โ–ผ Alabama: 10-2 with a home playoff game โ†’ 9-3 and the last SEC team in. Lost back-to-back games, and our model makes the Tide an underdog at LSU on Nov. 7.
    • โ–ฒ LSU: Gator โ†’ Citrus. Shut out Mississippi State 31-0. SP+ rates LSU No. 6 in the country, and our model makes the Tigers favorites in all five remaining games.
    • โ–ฒ Auburn: Birmingham โ†’ Liberty. Won 27-24 at No. 1 Georgia and now projects to 7-5.
    • โ–ฒ Florida: Liberty โ†’ ReliaQuest. The 27-24 win at Texas gives the Gators wins over Ole Miss, Texas and Auburn.
    • โ–ผ Oklahoma: Texas Bowl โ†’ Birmingham. Lost 21-13 at home to Kentucky and is 3-3, with six wins a 62% proposition in our sims.

    The Pot, Team by Team

    Georgia (6-1, 4-1 SEC; AP No. 5)

    Projection: 10-2, SEC champion, top-four CFP seed (bye). โ–  STEADY on the destination, down from last week’s 12-0/11-1 on the record.
    The data: Lost 27-24 at home to Auburn. Still the SEC’s highest-rated team in both systems (FPI No. 3, SP+ No. 2). Our sims put Georgia in Atlanta 85% of the time, and it wins out 41% of the time. The toughest remaining game is Nov. 7 at Ole Miss (Georgia 67% in our model). FPI gives them a 78.1% playoff chance.
    TAKE: Kirby Smart’s sideline face Saturday could’ve curdled a pot of milk from across the stadium. Calm down, Athens. Y’all lost one game, not the deed to the house.

    Tennessee (6-1, 3-1; AP No. 11)

    Projection: 9-3, loses the SEC title game to Georgia, CFP at-large. โ–ฒ UP from last week’s last-team-in.
    The data: Beat Alabama 26-10. The only loss is 20-17 to Texas. FPI No. 12, SP+ No. 13. Remaining games, with Tennessee’s chance in our model: at South Carolina (63%), Kentucky (76%), at Texas A&M (60%), LSU (43%, its only game as an underdog) and at Vanderbilt (86%). 79% of our sims end with nine or more wins.
    TAKE: Knoxville’s already printing “SEC Champs” shirts in that traffic-cone orange that makes Mawmaw’s eyes water. Josh Heupel, unplug the printer, cher. Atlanta’s still a month off.

    Ole Miss (5-1, 3-1; AP No. 7)

    Projection: 9-3, CFP at-large. โ–ฒ UP from the Citrus Bowl.
    The data: Beat Missouri 31-3. The only loss is 52-28 at Florida. FPI No. 11, SP+ No. 14, FPI playoff odds 43.6%. The back half is no picnic: at Texas (31%), Auburn (75%), Georgia (33%), at Oklahoma (61%), Wofford and the Egg Bowl vs. Mississippi State (81%). Our projected losses are the Texas and Georgia games. Win either one and this goes from bubble to comfortable.
    TAKE: Grove folks are already pricing December hotel rooms in their Sunday seersucker. Pete Golding, keep ’em off the balcony until the committee actually says something.

    Alabama (5-2, 3-2; AP No. 13)

    Projection: 9-3, CFP at-large (last SEC team in). โ–ผ DOWN from 10-2 and a home playoff game.
    The data: Lost 20-17 to Georgia and 26-10 at Tennessee. Wins include 45-17 at Kentucky and 56-23 at Mississippi State. The ratings still love the Tide (FPI No. 6, 49.5% playoff odds; SP+ No. 12). Remaining: Texas A&M (81%), at LSU (39%), at Vanderbilt (91%), Chattanooga and Auburn (82%). A loss in Baton Rouge puts them at 9-3, with the committee doing the math.
    TAKE: Tuscaloosa’s call-in shows are running hotter than a crawfish pot with the lid clamped down. Kalen DeBoer’s gonna need a bigger net for all them complaints.

    LSU (5-2, 2-2; AP No. 18)

    Projection: 8-4, Citrus Bowl. โ–ฒ UP from the Gator Bowl.
    The data: Beat Mississippi State 31-0. The losses are 32-24 at Ole Miss and 35-34 at Kentucky. SP+ No. 6 (second in the SEC only to Georgia) and FPI No. 8. Our model makes LSU the favorite in every remaining game (at Auburn 74%, Alabama 61%, Texas 58%, at Tennessee 57%, at Arkansas 92%), but stacking up that many 60-40 games still averages out to about 8.4 wins. Two SEC losses already make the Playoff a long shot (FPI: 28.5%). The highest-rated team left after the Playoff is the obvious Citrus pick.
    TAKE: Ten days ago Death Valley wanted Lane Kiffin’s head on a boudin platter. Now the same callers are booking Orlando condos. Fair-weather fans on the bayou? Never heard of ’em, cher.

    Kentucky (6-1, 4-1; AP No. 12)

    Projection: 8-4, Gator Bowl. โ–  STEADY: still a pool-of-six team, but the bowl changes from ReliaQuest to Gator.
    The data: Tied for first, with five straight wins capped by 21-13 at Oklahoma. The only loss was 45-17 to Alabama. But the ratings aren’t buying it: FPI No. 26 and SP+ No. 45, the lowest of the top seven teams in the standings. Remaining: Vanderbilt (81%), at Tennessee (24%), Florida (53%), at Missouri (36%) and Louisville (50%). FPI gives them 39.4% playoff odds. Our blend is more skeptical because SP+ rates them so much lower.
    TAKE: Lexington’s tied for first in the SEC in late October, so every bourbon shop in town is down to the bottom shelf. Will Stein, the raccoon’s still on the bricks, but somebody just turned on the porch light.

    Texas (4-2, 1-2; AP No. 19)

    Projection: 8-4, Texas Bowl. โ–ผ DOWN from a CFP at-large.
    The data: Lost 27-24 to Oklahoma and 27-24 at home to Florida, after September wins over Ohio State (24-23) and at Tennessee (20-17). FPI No. 7 (41.0% playoff odds) and SP+ No. 8, so the talent is real. Our model favors Texas in five of six remaining games: Ole Miss (69%), Mississippi State (88%), at Missouri (69%), at LSU (42%), Arkansas (96%) and at Texas A&M (72%). Still, only 47% of our sims reach nine wins. Along with LSU, they’re the best-rated team we have outside the Playoff. Beat Ole Miss Saturday and the two programs likely swap spots.
    TAKE: Steve Sarkisian says everything in Austin is getting evaluated. Mawmaw says start with the seasoning, cher. That budget buys a lot of cayenne.

    Florida (5-2, 3-2; AP No. 20)

    Projection: 8-4, ReliaQuest Bowl. โ–ฒ UP from 7-5 and the Liberty Bowl.
    The data: Won 27-24 at Texas. That gives the Gators three rรฉsumรฉ wins (Ole Miss 52-28, at Auburn 44-39, at Texas) to go with losses at Missouri (45-17) and vs. South Carolina (38-19). FPI No. 19, SP+ No. 38. Remaining: at Georgia (14%), Oklahoma (58%), at Kentucky (47%), Vanderbilt (84%) and at Florida State (62%).
    TAKE: Gator Nation went from “fire somebody” to “book the bowl trip” in two Saturdays. That’s the fastest mood swing in Florida since the Publix deli ran out of sub rolls. Jon Sumrall’s roux is finally browning.

    Missouri (5-2, 2-2; AP No. 22)

    Projection: 7-5, Music City Bowl. โ–ผ DOWN a win (8-4 โ†’ 7-5), same bowl.
    The data: Lost 31-3 at Ole Miss. Still 4-0 at home. FPI No. 27, SP+ No. 20. Remaining: at Arkansas (77%), Texas (31%), at Georgia (12%), Kentucky (64%) and Oklahoma (61%). Nashville stays an easy drive.
    TAKE: The Show-Me State finally has a demand for Eli Drinkwitz: show us a touchdown from the 2-yard line. Bring a covered dish to Nashville anyway, y’all.

    Mississippi State (4-2, 2-2; receiving votes) (the cook’s team, graded fair)

    Projection: 7-5, Las Vegas Bowl. โ–  STEADY on record and bowl, even though the computers now like State less.
    The data: Lost 31-0 at LSU and fell out of the AP Top 25 (was No. 16). FPI dropped to No. 38, the lowest of any SEC team we project to a bowl; SP+ has them No. 47. The early wins still count: at South Carolina 41-34, Missouri 31-24, at Minnesota 38-13. The path to 7-5: Tennessee Tech and Vanderbilt (77%) at home, plus one of two home coin flips, Oklahoma (48%) and Auburn (49%). FPI gives them a 92.2% shot at bowl eligibility.
    TAKE: Starkville’s cowbells went so quiet in Baton Rouge you could hear a crawfish sneeze. Jeff Lebby, when you’re inside the 40, Mawmaw says take the three points and say thank you. (Disclosure: the cook rang his into a pillow all weekend.)

    Auburn (4-2, 2-2; receiving votes)

    Projection: 7-5, Liberty Bowl. โ–ฒ UP from 6-6 and the Birmingham Bowl.
    The data: Won 27-24 at No. 1 Georgia with a field goal as time expired. Losses are 44-39 to Florida and 24-14 at Tennessee. FPI No. 21 (96.2% for six wins), SP+ No. 40. The back half is brutal: LSU (26%), at Ole Miss (25%), Arkansas (83%), at Mississippi State (51%), Samford and at Alabama (18%).
    TAKE: Auburn folks rolled Toomer’s so hard after Athens that Lee County is rationing toilet paper like it’s hurricane season. Alex Golesh won’t buy his own supper till Easter.

    Oklahoma (3-3, 1-2)

    Projection: 6-6, Birmingham Bowl. โ–ผ DOWN from 7-5 and the Texas Bowl.
    The data: Lost 21-13 at home to Kentucky. The other losses are at Michigan (17-10) and at Georgia (41-13), and the big win is 27-24 over Texas. FPI No. 22, SP+ No. 34. FPI puts six wins at 65.0%, and we have it at 62%. Remaining: at Mississippi State (52%), South Carolina (59%), at Florida (42%), Ole Miss (39%), Texas A&M (57%) and at Missouri (39%).
    TAKE: Last week Sooner Nation was planning a parade. Now Brent Venables’ parade route runs straight to Birmingham, and the band’s down to one kazoo.

    South Carolina (3-3, 1-3)

    Projection: 6-6, Gasparilla Bowl. โ–  STEADY.
    The data: Had a week off. The SEC losses are 41-34 to Mississippi State, 49-18 at Alabama and 35-34 to Kentucky, and the win is 38-19 at Florida. FPI No. 29, SP+ No. 32. FPI puts bowl eligibility at 56.9%, and we have it at 62%. Remaining: Tennessee (37%), at Oklahoma (41%), Texas A&M (55%), at Arkansas (72%), Georgia (17%) and at Clemson (62%).
    TAKE: Columbia’s bowl hopes are a 6-6 coin flip, and somehow Gamecock fans already know which ref is gonna blow it. Shane Beamer, keep the visor on and the antacids close.

    Texas A&M (4-3, 1-3)

    Projection: 6-6, bowl TBD (SEC backup slot). โ–  STEADY.
    The data: Beat The Citadel 41-0. The SEC losses are to Kentucky (31-21), at LSU (35-6) and at Missouri (27-6). FPI rates them better than their record (No. 20, 61.1% for six wins), and SP+ has them No. 33. They need two wins from at Alabama (19%), at South Carolina (45%), Tennessee (40%), at Oklahoma (43%) and Texas (28%), and they’re the underdog in all five. If all 14 teams get to six wins, the SEC’s tie-ins run out of seats, so A&M lands in a leftover bowl.
    TAKE: College Station’s got the budget of a Houston oil company and the October of a church-league softball team. Mike Elko’s kitchen still smells like burnt roux.

    Vanderbilt (3-4, 0-4)

    Projection: 4-8, no bowl. โ–  STEADY.
    The data: Four straight losses, the latest 31-21 at home to Arkansas. FPI No. 66 (2.8% bowl odds), SP+ No. 71. They’d need three wins from at Kentucky, at Mississippi State, Alabama, at Florida and Tennessee, and our model doesn’t favor them in any of the five.
    TAKE: Vandy fans ran the bowl math, double-checked it, showed their work, and quietly bought basketball tickets. Clark Lea, at least the library’s open late.

    Arkansas (3-4, 1-3)

    Projection: 4-8, no bowl. โ–  STEADY on the destination, up a win from last week’s 3-9.
    The data: Won 31-21 at Vanderbilt for their first SEC win of the year. FPI No. 58 (4.4% bowl odds), SP+ No. 82. They’re the underdog in all five remaining games: Missouri, at Auburn, South Carolina, at Texas and LSU.
    TAKE: Ryan Silverfield got his first SEC win and Fayetteville called the Hogs so loud the cows in Missouri stopped giving milk. In the Ozarks, cher, 4-8 counts as a rebuilding plan with a tailgate.

    The Tally

    4 CFP teams (Georgia, Tennessee, Ole Miss, Alabama), plus Citrus (LSU), plus the pool of six (Floridaโ€“ReliaQuest, Kentuckyโ€“Gator, Texasโ€“Texas Bowl, Missouriโ€“Music City, Mississippi Stateโ€“Las Vegas, Auburnโ€“Liberty), plus Birmingham (Oklahoma) and Gasparilla (South Carolina), plus Texas A&M in a backup slot. That’s 14 bowl-eligible teams, the same as last week. Vanderbilt and Arkansas stay home.

    Where the computers argue with us: FPI gives Texas (41.0%) and Kentucky (39.4%) playoff odds right next to Ole Miss (43.6%) and Tennessee (44.7%). We went with Ole Miss because of its schedule and SP+. If Texas wins Saturday, we’ll eat the crow, cher. It goes great with rice.

    Games that move the pot this week (Oct. 24): Ole Miss at Texas (a playoff spot is basically on the line), Tennessee at South Carolina, LSU at Auburn, Oklahoma at Mississippi State (a 52-48 coin flip in our model), and Texas A&M at Alabama.

    More from the pot: our Week 7 recap and why Georgia still deserves the SEC crown.

    Sources (data)

    Gridiron Gumbo: SEC football, seasoned in Southwest Louisiana. Projections are our own TAKE built on the data above. Records and ratings are CONFIRMED as of Oct. 20, 2026.

  • Gumbo’s Picks: SEC Week 8 (Sat. Oct. 24)

    Gumbo’s Picks: SEC Week 8 (Sat. Oct. 24)

    Updated Sat Oct 24, 2026, 6:16 a.m. CT: Agreed by The Gambler and JR Handicapper (Rohn approved via Chief of Staff, Sat Oct 24, 6:11 a.m. CT); posted here Sat Oct 24, 6:16 a.m. CT. Tennessee/South Carolina: our straight-up pick is now South Carolina 26-25 (was Tennessee 28-25); still no play on the spread or the total. Everything else in this post is unchanged by this note.

    Updated Sat Oct 24, 2026, 5:52 a.m. CT: Agreed by The Gambler and JR Handicapper Fri Oct 23 evening; posted here Sat Oct 24, 5:52 a.m. CT. Oklahoma/Mississippi State score moved to Oklahoma 25-22 (still a pass on the side and total); Ole Miss/Texas is now a pass on both the side and the total (Texas 29-25 unchanged); LSU/Auburn stays LSU 29-21, lean Under 51.5 (DraftKings); Texas A&M/Alabama stays Alabama 32-19, pass. Details in each game below. Older updates follow.

    Updated Oct 22, 2026 (Thu.), 8:39 p.m. CT: DraftKings lines refreshed for every game (as of 8:12 p.m. CT Oct. 22); Oklahoma/Mississippi State is now a pass on both the spread and the total, Vanderbilt/Kentucky stays No Play, and Ole Miss/Texas is back to a slight lean Over 53.5 (DraftKings, 8:12 p.m. CT Oct. 22). Earlier (Oct 21): both of our Plays got knocked down to NO PLAY after new SP+ ratings came in, and Texas A&M/Alabama became a Pass. Details below.

    ร‡a c’est bon, y’all. T-Rohn done stirred the pot, tasted the roux, and here’s what’s simmerin’ for SEC Week 8, Saturday Oct. 24. Six SEC games, four teams on bye (Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Missouri), and the weather looks dry and mild everywhere, so no weather adjustments. We posted two Plays, three Leans and one Pass; as of the Oct. 21 update, both Plays are downgraded to No Play and the A&M/Alabama lean is now a Pass, so as of the Oct. 24 update we’re at one Lean (LSU/Auburn) and three Passes (Ole Miss/Texas, Texas A&M/Alabama, Oklahoma/Mississippi State). Every fan base gets the same spoon here.

    The Plays (Downgraded: No Play)

    Tennessee @ South Carolina (2:30 p.m. CT): Over 50.5 โ€” DOWNGRADED / NO PLAY (line as of Oct 20: 50.5 at DraftKings and FanDuel, 50-51 across books)
    Both offenses grade out above average, Carolina plays fast (about 74 snaps a game), and the Gamecock defense has been giving up points this year. Our number lands near 53. Fair warning, cher: Tennessee’s games have gone Under 6 of 7, so this one’s got a little cayenne in it.
    Update Oct 21: The roux thinned out. Fresh SP+ numbers rate Tennessee’s defense better, and our raw model total dropped from 59.4 to 55.8. That’s 5.05 points over the market’s 50.75 (best number 50.5 at DraftKings), but we only trust our model for 25% of the number and the market for 75%, so our projected total is 52.0 and the edge is down to 1.25 points. That’s a small tier-2 lean now, not a Play.
    Line update (Oct. 22): DraftKings has the total at 50.5 (South Carolina -2.5) as of 8:12 p.m. CT Oct. 22, via VegasInsider. Pick unchanged. Picks disclaimer.
    Updated Sat Oct 24, 6:16 a.m. CT: switched our straight-up pick to South Carolina 26-25 (was Tennessee 28-25). The model and the market (South Carolina -2.5, DraftKings, 4:02 AM CT Sat run) both favor South Carolina. Still no play on the spread or the total.

    Vanderbilt @ Kentucky (6:30 p.m. CT): Over 51.25 โ€” DOWNGRADED / NO PLAY (line as of Oct 20: 51.5 at DraftKings, 50.5-51 at most other books; consensus around 51.25)
    Both defenses rate below average, and both teams have gone Over in 5 of 7. Our number sits about 52 (number updated 11:22 AM CT Oct. 24). Shop for the 51 if you can find it.
    Update Oct 21: Kentucky’s defense got a better grade in the new SP+, and the total ticked up to 51.5 at both books we track, DraftKings and Bovada (as of 4:02 a.m. CT Oct. 21). Our edge shrank to 1.5 points. Call it a tier-3 lean, not a Play.
    Line update (Oct. 22): DraftKings has the total at 52.5 (Kentucky -10.5) as of 8:12 p.m. CT Oct. 22, via VegasInsider.
    Update Oct. 22 (8:12 p.m. CT): Kentucky 31-21. Pass on the side and No Play on the total at DraftKings UK -10.5 / 52.5 (8:12 PM CT Oct. 22). Picks disclaimer.

    The Leans

    Ole Miss @ Texas (6:30 p.m. CT): UPDATED Oct 24: PASS on the side and the total (was: lean Over 53.) (line as of Oct 20, 4:20 a.m. CT: 53.5 at DraftKings, 52.5 at Bovada; the 53 we posted was the midpoint of those two books, not a single book line. Shop for the 52.5.) The Rebel offense is one of the best in the country, and Texas EDGE Colin Simmons is OUT, per Thursday’s SEC availability report (via On3/Inside Texas). We like it, but not enough to call it a Play.
    Update Oct 21: Lean Over 53.5, tier 1. The total climbed to 53.5 at both DraftKings and Bovada (as of 4:02 a.m. CT Oct. 21), and Ole Miss’s defense graded out better in the new SP+, so our edge is down to a thin 0.8 points. Still on the Over, just with a lighter hand on the pepper.
    Update Oct 22: No Play at DraftKings 54.5 (as of 1:07 p.m. CT Oct. 22, via VegasInsider). Pick was made at 53.5; the thin lean Over returns at 53.5 or lower.
    Line update (Oct. 22): DraftKings has the total at 53.5 (Texas -3.5) as of 8:12 p.m. CT Oct. 22, via VegasInsider.
    Update Oct. 22 (8:12 p.m. CT): Texas 29-25. Pass on the side; slight lean Over 53.5 (DraftKings, 8:12 PM CT Oct. 22). Thin edge, and it’s No Play again if the total climbs back to 54.5. Picks disclaimer.
    Update (agreed Fri Oct 23 evening; posted Sat Oct 24, 5:52 a.m. CT): After the SEC’s Friday availability report (posted 7:10 PM CT), Texas is without RB Hollywood Smothers, WR Kaliq Lockett, OL Jaydon Chatman and edge rushers Colin Simmons and Richard Wesley; Ole Miss C Brycen Sanders is probable (OL Jackson Christian is newly questionable for Texas). Keeping Texas 29-25, now passing on both the side (-3, DraftKings) and the total (53.5, DraftKings), lines per VegasInsider 7:29 PM CT Fri Oct 23.
    Line update (Sat. Oct. 24, 11:11 a.m. CT): DraftKings has Texas -3 (-115), total 54.5 (Over -105 / Under -115), moneylines Texas -155 / Ole Miss +130, per ESPN’s DraftKings odds feed (VegasInsider’s DraftKings column matched), pulled 11:11 a.m. CT. Pick unchanged. Picks disclaimer.

    LSU @ Auburn (11 a.m. CT): lean Under 50.5 โ€” UPDATED Oct 24: lean Under 51.5 (DraftKings). (line as of Oct 20, 4:20 a.m. CT: 50.5 at DraftKings and Bovada) The ratings line up with the spread almost exactly, and the totals model sits about a point low. Auburn’s coming off a huge win over Georgia, and the game after one of those can come out a little flat. Small lean only. Injury note (Oct 20, 7:15 PM CT): LSU WR Jackson Harris, who left the Mississippi State game with an ankle injury and was later seen in a walking boot, said Tuesday, "we'll be all good for this week." He expects to play; that is CONFIRMED as his on-record quote, not an official status (SEC availability report comes Wednesday). Sources: Tiger Rag, 247Sports.
    Update Oct 21: Lean Under 51.25, tier 2. The total went up to 51.25 (51.5 at DraftKings), which hands us a better number on the Under. Auburn also dismissed All-SEC LB Xavier Atkins Monday night (AP), and we docked the Tigers a half-point for it. Edge is 1.05 points.
    Line update (Oct. 22): DraftKings has the total at 51.5 (LSU -7) as of 8:12 p.m. CT Oct. 22, via VegasInsider. Pick unchanged. Picks disclaimer.
    Update (agreed Fri Oct 23 evening; posted Sat Oct 24, 5:52 a.m. CT): After the SEC’s Friday availability report (7:10 PM CT Fri Oct 23), Auburn DL Saint Farrior is out. Keeping LSU 29-21, lean Under 51.5 (DraftKings, LSU -7, VegasInsider 7:29 PM CT Fri Oct 23).
    Line update (Sat. Oct. 24, 11:11 a.m. CT): DraftKings has LSU -7 (-115), total 52.5 (Over -105 / Under -115), moneylines LSU -285 / Auburn +230, per ESPN’s DraftKings odds feed (VegasInsider’s DraftKings column matched the total and moneylines and showed LSU -7 at -118), pulled 11:11 a.m. CT; kickoff was 11 a.m. CT. Pick and lean unchanged as posted above. Picks disclaimer.

    Texas A&M @ Alabama (2:30 p.m. CT): lean Over 50.5 โ€” UPDATED / PASS (line as of Oct 20, 4:20 a.m. CT: 50.5 at DraftKings and Bovada) Our side number is right on the market, and the total comes out about a point high. Mild lean, nothin’ spicier.
    Update Oct 21: Now a PASS. Alabama’s SP+ rating fell after the loss at Tennessee, and our total edge is gone (0.4 points). Nothin’ left in the pot here.
    Line update (Oct. 22): DraftKings has the total at 50.5 (Alabama -13.5) as of 8:12 p.m. CT Oct. 22, via VegasInsider. Pick unchanged. Picks disclaimer.
    Update (posted Sat Oct 24, 5:52 a.m. CT): After the SEC’s Friday availability report (7:10 PM CT Fri Oct 23), Alabama’s Zabien Brown, EJ Crowell and Racin Delgatty are doubtful; A&M’s Mario Craver, DJ Hicks, Daymion Sanford and Trovon Baugh are probable. Keeping Alabama 32-19, pass at -13.5 / 50.5 (FanDuel and DraftKings, VegasInsider 7:29 PM CT Fri Oct 23).
    Line update (Sat. Oct. 24, 11:11 a.m. CT): DraftKings has Alabama -13.5 (-112), total 49.5 (Over -115 / Under -105), moneylines Alabama -575 / Texas A&M +425, per ESPN’s DraftKings odds feed (VegasInsider’s DraftKings column matched), pulled 11:11 a.m. CT. Pick unchanged. Picks disclaimer.

    The Pass

    Oklahoma @ Mississippi State (2:30 p.m. CT): PASS, pending QB status (lean MSU +4) โ€” UPDATED Oct 24: Oklahoma 25-22, pass spread/total (line as of Oct 20, 4:20 a.m. CT: MSU +4 at DraftKings and Bovada) This whole game depends on Bulldog QB Kamario Taylor, REPORTED day-to-day with turf toe. The line went from MSU +2 (midpoint of the DraftKings and Bovada openers) to +4 (DraftKings and Bovada, 4:21 a.m. CT Oct. 20), so the market’s pricing him out, but our ratings see a near coin flip. No Play until the official availability report. Disclosure: T-Rohn leans Mississippi State here, so take that lean with a grain of Tony’s.
    Update Oct 21: Our call is Oklahoma 23-20. We pass on the spread (OU -4.5 at DraftKings and Bovada, total 44.5 at DraftKings, as of 4:02 a.m. CT Oct. 21) and on the total, with a slight lean to the Under 44.5. OU’s elite defense against a better State offense, plus home field, makes this about a field goal, and Taylor’s questionable status (Wednesday report) is the whole edge. We re-decide after Thursday’s availability report.
    Update Oct. 22 (8:12 p.m. CT): Still Oklahoma 23-20. We pass on the spread at DraftKings OU -3, which lands right on our 3-point projection, and we pass on the total, dropping the slight Under 44.5 lean. Pick made Oct. 21 at OU -4.5 (DraftKings and Bovada), total 44.5 (DraftKings); DraftKings now OU -3 / 46.5 as of 8:03 PM CT Oct. 22 (via VegasInsider; DraftKings had moved to -5.5 Thursday afternoon). Picks disclaimer.
    Update (Sat. Oct. 24, 5:52 a.m. CT): Moved the score to Oklahoma 25-22 to match the 47.5 market total (DraftKings OU -2.5 / 47.5, seen at the 4:02 AM CT Sat run); still a pass on the side and total. Injury update (official SEC availability report, posted 1:00 p.m. CT Sat Oct. 24; added here Sat Oct. 24, 1:39 p.m. CT): Mississippi State QB Kamario Taylor is available. Oklahoma DB Eli Bowen and WR Elijah Thomas are out; OL Heath Ozaeta and OL Michael Fasusi are available. Our pick and score are unchanged.
    Line update (Sat. Oct. 24, 11:11 a.m. CT): DraftKings has Oklahoma -1.5 (-112), total 48.5 (Over -108 / Under -112), moneylines Oklahoma -122 / Mississippi State +102, per ESPN’s DraftKings odds feed (VegasInsider’s DraftKings column matched), pulled 11:11 a.m. CT. Pick and score unchanged. Picks disclaimer.

    Update Oct 21: T-Rohn’s full preview made the call at Oklahoma 23-20, pass spread/total (our score moved to Oklahoma 25-22 on Sat Oct. 24, see the Oklahoma update above; Under 44.5 lean at DraftKings dropped Oct. 22; pick made Oct. 21 at OU -4.5 (DraftKings and Bovada), total 44.5 (DraftKings); DraftKings now OU -3 / 46.5 as of 8:03 PM CT Oct. 22) โ†’ https://gridirongumbo.com/oklahoma-at-mississippi-state-preview-2026/.

    Honest note from the kitchen: five of our six totals leans point Over, and our totals numbers have run a little high this year. Treat these as small edges, not locks.

    For entertainment only, not betting advice. Injury info is REPORTED unless marked official. These picks may be updated until each game’s kickoff.

    Correction (Oct. 22, 2026): Texas EDGE Colin Simmons’ status changed from doubtful (Wed.) to out (Thu.). Updated (Oct. 22, 2026): Ole Miss–Texas total moved to 54.5 at DraftKings (1:07 p.m. CT, via VegasInsider); pick changed to No Play. Updated (Oct. 22, 2026): DraftKings lines refreshed for every game as of 8:12 p.m. CT (via VegasInsider); Oklahoma-Mississippi State now a pass on both the spread and the total (Under 44.5 lean dropped; pick made Oct. 21 at OU -4.5 (DraftKings and Bovada), total 44.5 (DraftKings); DraftKings now OU -3 / 46.5 as of 8:03 PM CT Oct. 22). Updated (Oct. 22, 2026, 8:32 p.m. CT): The Gambler and JR re-decided two picks. Vanderbilt–Kentucky: Kentucky 31-21, pass on the side and No Play on the total at DraftKings UK -10.5 / 52.5 (8:12 PM CT Oct. 22). Ole Miss–Texas: Texas 29-25, pass on the side, slight lean Over 53.5 (DraftKings, 8:12 PM CT Oct. 22), replacing the No Play above. We also named the sportsbook and time for every line in this post. Picks disclaimer. Updated (Oct. 22, 2026, 8:39 p.m. CT): the Oklahoma–Mississippi State pick line now names the book for each number: the Oct. 21 spread (OU -4.5) was at DraftKings and Bovada, and the 44.5 total was at DraftKings. The pick is unchanged. Updated (Sat. Oct. 24, 2026, 5:52 a.m. CT): agreed by The Gambler and JR Handicapper Fri Oct. 23 evening, posted 5:52 a.m. CT Sat. Oklahoma–Mississippi State score moved to Oklahoma 25-22, still a pass on the side and total (DraftKings OU -2.5 / 47.5, 4:02 AM CT Sat run); Ole Miss–Texas total call changed from slight lean Over 53.5 to Pass, with the side still a pass (DraftKings -3 / 53.5, VegasInsider 7:29 PM CT Fri Oct. 23), Texas 29-25 unchanged; LSU–Auburn total corrected to 51.5 (DraftKings, VegasInsider 7:29 PM CT Fri Oct. 23), lean Under and LSU 29-21 unchanged; Alabama–Texas A&M availability note added, Alabama 32-19 and pass unchanged. Updated (Sat. Oct. 24, 2026, 11:11 a.m. CT): DraftKings lines refreshed for Oklahoma–Mississippi State, Ole Miss–Texas, LSU–Auburn and Texas A&M–Alabama (market numbers only, per ESPN’s DraftKings odds feed, cross-checked with VegasInsider); no pick, lean or score changed. Picks disclaimer.

  • Long Live the Dented King: Why Georgia Still Deserves the 2026 SEC Crown

    Long Live the Dented King: Why Georgia Still Deserves the 2026 SEC Crown

    Two No. 1s have been dunked in the roux in two weeks, Kentucky is tied for first, and Mama has opinions. T-Rohn crowns the team with the best rรฉsumรฉ in the pot, scratch marks and all.

    By T-Rohn | Gridiron Gumbo | Monday, Oct. 19, 2026, after Week 7


    First, a Confession From the Maroon Pew

    Before I hand out a crown, y’all deserve to know where my bias sleeps at night: I’m a Mississippi State man. I lean maroon. I own a cowbell that has been rung so hard it now only plays one note, and that note is “anguish.” CONFIRMED (by my neighbors).

    So you know I’m not crowning my own team. State is 4-2, 2-2 in the SEC, and just got shut out 31-0 in Baton Rouge after five trips inside the LSU 40 ended in five failed fourth downs. CONFIRMED. Five! That’s not an offense, cher, that’s a man knocking on a door, getting told nobody’s home, knocking again, and then leaving a casserole on the porch with no note. I love my Dawgs. My Dawgs are not getting a crown. My Dawgs are getting a hug and a field goal unit.

    Now let’s cook.

    The State of the Pot: A Throne Made of Folding Chairs

    Here’s the situation after Week 7, and every word of it is CONFIRMED by ESPN’s standings and the AP poll:

    • Georgia (6-1, 4-1 SEC) and Kentucky (6-1, 4-1) are tied for first.
    • Tennessee (6-1, 3-1) and Ole Miss (5-1, 3-1) are one loss back with a game in hand.
    • Florida, Alabama (both 5-2, 3-2) lurk behind them, with LSU, Auburn, Missouri and State at 2-2.
    • The AP’s No. 1 team has lost in back-to-back weeks for the first time since October 1990, per Sportradar. Texas fell to Oklahoma, then Georgia fell to Auburn 27-24 on a field goal as time expired.
    • The SEC still has nine teams in the AP Top 25, and the highest one is Georgia, way down at No. 5.

    The SEC throne right now is less “throne” and more one of those plastic folding chairs at a church fish fry. Everybody sits in it for a minute. Everybody gets up with a red mark on the back of their legs. And there’s always one uncle who leans back too far and goes straight into the coleslaw.

    I called Mama for guidance. Mama is four-foot-ten, ninety-one pounds, and has been stirring the same gumbo since the Carter administration. I told her the SEC had no king.

    She sipped her coffee and said, “Bรฉbรฉ, the SEC never has a king. It has a man holding the spoon until somebody hits him with the pot.”

    Then she hung up, because Wheel of Fortune was on.

    The Pick: Georgia, and Yes, I Saw Saturday Too

    TAKE: The Georgia Bulldogs deserve the 2026 SEC crown.

    I know. Georgia was a 19.5-point favorite at home against an unranked Auburn team and lost. (That’s DraftKings’ closing line at the 2:30 p.m. CT kickoff on Oct. 17, per VegasInsider. Picks disclaimer.) Georgia had 53 straight wins over unranked teams, and No. 1 teams had won 93 straight home games against unranked foes going back to 2007, per the AP. CONFIRMED. Saturday, both streaks went into the trash bag with the crawfish heads.

    But “deserve” is about the whole meal, not the one time you dropped the potato salad on the driveway. Here’s the rรฉsumรฉ, all CONFIRMED:

    • Won at Alabama, 20-17 (Oct. 10). Nobody else in the league has a road win in Tuscaloosa this year.
    • Beat Oklahoma 41-13. That’s the same Oklahoma that beat then-No. 1 Texas a week later.
    • Won at Arkansas 45-17 and beat Vanderbilt 38-14.
    • Four SEC wins, tied for the most in the league.
    • Points: 301 scored, 111 allowed in seven games. Do the math and that’s an average margin of about 27 points a game, which in gumbo terms is a roux so dark it has its own zip code.
    • Even in the loss, Georgia outgained Auburn 440-366, and Gunner Stockton threw for 272 yards and two touchdowns.

    What sank them was self-inflicted: three turnovers and, in Kirby Smart’s own words, “some really, really untimely, undisciplined, uncharacteristic penalties” (via The Atlanta Journal-Constitution). CONFIRMED. That’s fixable. You can’t coach “slow,” but you can absolutely coach “please stop handing the ball to the other team like it’s a plate of boudin at a wake.”

    Why not Tennessee, my own Power Pot No. 1? Because “who’s playing best this week” and “who deserves the crown” are two different questions, the same way “who’s the best dancer at the wedding” and “who should be married” are two different questions. Tennessee is the hottest team. Georgia is still the best rรฉsumรฉ in the room. That’s exactly what the Power Pot said Sunday night, too.

    The Road Ahead (It’s a Gauntlet With Spanish Moss on It)

    Georgia’s bye comes this week, and then CONFIRMED by ESPN’s schedule:

    • Oct. 31: Florida. The Gators just went into Austin and won as a 13.5-point dog behind a quarterback making his first career start. Spooky date, spooky opponent.
    • Nov. 7: at Ole Miss. The Rebels are 25-1 at home since 2023, per the AP. This is the de facto SEC semifinal, and I’ll need a defibrillator and a second bowl.
    • Nov. 14: Missouri.
    • Nov. 21: at South Carolina.

    That’s the hardest remaining path of any contender. TAKE: Good. A crown you earn through Florida, Oxford and Columbia is a crown nobody can argue about at Thanksgiving. Lose one of those and Georgia can kiss the throne goodbye. Win them all, and the conversation ends.

    The Crown Ceremony

    I held the official Gridiron Gumbo Crown Ceremony in my backyard on Sunday night. It went exactly as planned, if the plan was a disaster.

    The crown is a crawfish-boil pot lid with a cayenne-red bow tied on it. The scepter is a boudin link, which I’m told is not regulation. The throne is the same folding chair from earlier, now with a Georgia towel on it, and it is still wobbly, because this is the SEC and every chair in this league has one short leg.

    I called Georgia’s name. I lifted the lid. Steam came off it like a hot tub in a cold snap.

    And then Mama walked out of the kitchen, took the lid, put it right back on the pot, and said, “That’s my lid. Get your own crown. Also, they lost at home.”

    So the crown is now provisional. Georgia gets to look at the lid. Georgia may touch the lid on Nov. 7 if it wins in Oxford. Georgia may wear the lid only after the SEC Championship, and must return it clean.

    The Contenders: Folks With a Spoon in the Pot

    Tennessee (6-1, 3-1). CONFIRMED: The Vols handed Alabama a 26-10 beating in which Bama had 201 total yards, went 2 of 13 on third down and turned it over four times. DeSean Bishop ran 32 times for 159 yards and two touchdowns, and Tennessee closed it with a 9:32 fourth-quarter drive, the longest of the Josh Heupel era. Their only loss was 20-17 to Texas. TAKE: Tennessee runs the ball like a freight train, then a second freight train, and then, just when you think you’re safe, a third freight train shows up driven by Mama, who doesn’t have a license and doesn’t need one. Kicking four first-half field goals and still winning by 16 is the football version of going to a crawfish boil, eating only the corn, and still having to unbutton your pants. Catch: Tennessee doesn’t play Georgia, so tiebreakers could get messier than a seafood platter in a convertible. They go to South Carolina this week (South Carolina -2.5 at DraftKings, total 50.5, as of 8:12 p.m. CT Thursday, Oct. 22, via VegasInsider; lines move. Picks disclaimer), then get Kentucky Nov. 7.

    Ole Miss (5-1, 3-1). CONFIRMED: The Rebels held Missouri, a team with a back coming off two straight 200-yard games, to 39 rushing yards on 26 carries in a 31-3 win. Trinidad Chambliss accounted for four touchdowns, and Kewan Lacy (122) and Makhi Frazier (101) both cleared 100. The lone loss was 52-28 at Florida. TAKE: Ole Miss is playing the best football in October, and it controls the biggest game left on the board. The bad news is the schedule: at Texas Saturday, Auburn, Georgia, at Oklahoma, then my State boys in the Egg Bowl. That’s not a schedule, that’s an obstacle course designed by somebody who hates you personally. REPORTED: It may get a little easier Saturday. ESPN’s Pete Thamel reported Texas edge rusher Colin Simmons, the national sacks leader with 10.5, has a high-ankle sprain and is expected to miss the Ole Miss game. Orangebloods reported a three-to-four-week timeline (single outlet). Texas has not announced a diagnosis. Wishing Colin a quick and full mend. Update (Oct. 22): CONFIRMED: Simmons is listed OUT for the Ole Miss game on Thursday’s SEC availability report (via On3).

    Kentucky (6-1, 4-1). CONFIRMED: Tied for first, five straight wins, including 35-34 over South Carolina and 35-34 over LSU, then a 21-13 win at Oklahoma with 230 total yards and four interceptions, capped by a 41-yard pick-six with 1:17 left. TAKE: Kentucky wins like a raccoon gets into your garbage. You don’t know how. You locked it. You put a brick on it. You put a second brick on it. And in the morning the raccoon is sitting on the bricks eating your leftover jambalaya, and he’s tied for first in the SEC. I respect it. But the lone loss was a 45-17 home beating from Alabama, and Tennessee, Florida and Missouri are still on the menu. Kentucky is a contender with one foot on a banana peel.

    The Pretenders: Folks Who Brought an Empty Pot

    Texas (4-2, 1-2). CONFIRMED: No. 1 two weeks ago. Now 1-2 in the league after losses to Oklahoma and Florida, with 272 total yards and 2 of 10 on third down against the Gators. TAKE: Texas has the budget of a mid-size oil company and an offense that keeps running out of gas. It’s like buying a bass boat with a $40,000 motor, three fish finders and a built-in cooler, and then paddling it with a ping-pong paddle. And now the best pass rusher in America is out (per Thursday’s SEC availability report, via On3) the week Ole Miss shows up. It’s math: two league losses and Ole Miss in town means the crown is gone.

    Alabama (5-2, 3-2). CONFIRMED: First back-to-back regular-season losses since 2007. TAKE: The Tide has gone out so far that people in Tuscaloosa are walking out on the sand looking for shells. Then they found a parking spot out there. Then a guy opened a snowball stand where the tide used to be. The defense deserves better, and Bama still has wins over Kentucky and South Carolina, but “we beat the team tied for first in September” is not a coronation speech. Texas A&M visits Saturday.

    Missouri (5-2, 2-2). CONFIRMED: Unbeaten at home, but had first-and-goal at the Ole Miss 2, ran backward twice, threw incomplete and missed a 23-yard field goal. TAKE: You could have rolled a sack of Zatarain’s into the end zone from the 2. Mama has. In her driveway. On a Tuesday. For fun. Three of Mizzou’s last four are at home, so they’ll spoil somebody’s party, but they’re the uncle who shows up at the reunion with a cooler full of ice and no drinks.

    Honorable Mentions in the Chaos Stew: Florida (5-2, 3-2) owns wins over Ole Miss, Texas and Auburn and could absolutely ruin Georgia’s crown fitting on Oct. 31. TAKE: They’re too far back to win it, and just dangerous enough to decide it. LSU (5-2) just pitched its first shutout of an SEC opponent since 2007 (CONFIRMED), and I’ll say it through gritted maroon teeth: Death Valley was a buzzsaw Saturday. Auburn (4-2) is the most dangerous unranked team in America and can tell its grandchildren about Athens.

    Fine Print, Rumors and the Pot Still Boiling

    • CONFIRMED: Standings, scores, stats and schedules come from ESPN, AP recaps and our Week 7 recap.
    • REPORTED: Colin Simmons’ high-ankle sprain (ESPN, On3, Orangebloods); the three-to-four-week timeline (Orangebloods only). Texas’ official SEC availability report drops Wednesday night, around 7 p.m. CT. Update (Oct. 22): CONFIRMED: Thursday’s SEC availability report lists Simmons OUT for Ole Miss (via On3).
    • RUMOR: Mama claims she can predict the SEC champion by which way the bay leaf floats. Last year it floated toward the stove and the stove caught fire. Unverified.
    • TAKE: Everything with the words “cher,” “Mama” or “freight train” in it.

    The Last Bite

    So here’s my answer. Georgia deserves the 2026 SEC crown because it has the best road win in the league, the fattest point margin, a share of first place, and the hardest path left to prove it. Tennessee is the hottest team, Ole Miss controls the biggest game, and Kentucky has a raccoon sitting on its bricks. Georgia is the one holding the spoon.

    But the lid stays in Mama’s kitchen until Nov. 7.

    As Mama put it when I asked her who she thinks wins the SEC: “Baby, the crown don’t go to the best team. It goes to the last one still standing when the gumbo’s gone.” Then she pointed at my bowl. “And you’re not standing. Sit down and eat.”

    Gridiron Gumbo: SEC football, seasoned in Southwest Louisiana. Laissez les bons temps rouler, and kick the field goal from the 6, Starkville.

    Correction (Oct. 22, 2026): An earlier version quoted Kirby Smart as calling the penalties “untimely, uncharacteristic and undisciplined”; his exact words, per the AJC, are now quoted above. Updated (Oct. 22, 2026): Georgia’s 19.5-point line now names its sportsbook (DraftKings’ close). The Tennessee-South Carolina line, previously ESPN’s Sunday number (South Carolina -1.5), now shows DraftKings’ current line. Texas EDGE Colin Simmons is now listed OUT on Thursday’s SEC availability report.

  • SEC Week 7 Recap: Auburn Upsets No. 1 Georgia, Tennessee Beats Alabama, Florida Wins at Texas and LSU Shuts Out Mississippi State

    SEC Week 7 Recap: Auburn Upsets No. 1 Georgia, Tennessee Beats Alabama, Florida Wins at Texas and LSU Shuts Out Mississippi State

    Gridiron Gumbo | SEC Week 7 Recap: games of Saturday, Oct. 17, 2026 | Posted Sunday night, Oct. 18, 2026

    By Rohn Dixon, reporting from Southwest Louisiana, where the roux is dark, the mosquitoes are organized, and the takes are hotter than a boiling pot at a church crawfish fundraiser


    Before We Stir the Pot: A Disclosure

    Full transparency, cher: I bleed maroon. Mississippi State is my team, and I’ve been a Bulldog ever since a few LSU road trips to Starkville made me fall for the place. That means two things. One, I know heartbreak like a Cajun knows humidity. Two, in this kitchen State goes in the same pot as everybody else, and this week I turned the burner all the way up on my own boys. You’ll see.

    Now, what a Saturday. For the second straight week, the No. 1 team in the country got dunked in the roux by an unranked SEC team. Last week it was Texas falling to Oklahoma. This week Auburn walked into Athens and walked out with Georgia’s crown on a field goal as time expired. Per Sportradar, it’s the first time the AP’s No. 1 team has lost in back-to-back weeks since October 1990. Alabama lost its second straight game, too. Texas lost its second straight. Florida, left for dead two weeks ago, rose up like a gator out of a drainage ditch in Austin. Arkansas finally won an SEC game. And Kentucky, the team that keeps winning games it has no business winning, is now tied with Georgia for first place in the SEC. Mawmaw dropped her rosary twice.

    Cajun Commentary: The throne in this league has a revolving door and a squeaky hinge. Nobody’s safe, nobody’s clean, and everybody’s got gumbo on their good shirt.

    There were seven SEC-vs-SEC games plus one nonconference game, no SEC games Thursday or Friday, and one team on a bye (South Carolina). By Sunday the SEC still had nine teams in the AP Top 25, but the highest one is Georgia, down at No. 5.

    Grab a bowl, a sleeve of saltines, and a can of bug spray. Here’s the whole league.


    The Weekend at a Glance

    • Auburn 27, No. 1 Georgia 24 (Athens)
    • No. 14 Tennessee 26, No. 6 Alabama 10 (Knoxville)
    • Florida 27, No. 7 Texas 24 (Austin)
    • No. 9 Ole Miss 31, No. 13 Missouri 3 (Oxford)
    • No. 15 Kentucky 21, Oklahoma 13 (Norman)
    • No. 22 LSU 31, No. 16 Mississippi State 0 (Baton Rouge)
    • Arkansas 31, Vanderbilt 21 (Nashville)
    • Texas A&M 41, The Citadel 0 (College Station)
    • Bye: South Carolina

    Rankings shown are the AP rankings going into the game. Week 7 lines quoted below are DraftKings closing lines.

    Auburn 27, No. 1 Georgia 24: Two weeks, two No. 1s dunked in the roux. That throne's got a revolving door, cher.
    Auburn 27, No. 1 Georgia 24: Two weeks, two No. 1s dunked in the roux. That throne’s got a revolving door, cher.

    AUBURN TIGERS: The Upset Boil of the Year (So Far)

    Auburn 27, No. 1 Georgia 24 | Auburn now 4-2 (2-2 SEC) | Unranked

    Cajun roast: Auburn came into Athens as a 19.5-point underdog (DraftKings closing line). Georgia fans had the victory boudin warming in the slow cooker by kickoff. Auburn ate it, licked the plate, and asked where the cracklins were.

    Down 14-0 in the first quarter, Auburn could’ve folded like a cheap lawn chair at a crawfish boil. Instead the Tigers scored 24 straight points, starting with a trick play: Byrum Brown pitched to receiver Christian Neptune, who threw a touchdown pass to Keshaun Singleton. Brown ran it like a 235-pound bulldozer with a learner’s permit: 26 carries, 115 yards and a touchdown, plus 15 of 26 passing for 150 yards and a TD to Chas Nimrod (6 catches, 60 yards). Per Auburn, Brown joins Cam Newton as the only Auburn quarterbacks in 40 years to run for 100 yards against Georgia.

    Georgia tied it 24-24 with 2:58 left. Then Cody Sigler forced a fumble in the final minute, Sylvester Smith-Reed jumped on it at the Auburn 44, and Alex McPherson drilled a 34-yarder as time expired. Elijah Melendez was everywhere: 9 tackles, a sack and an interception. Auburn outrushed Georgia 192-113 and committed zero turnovers. First-year coach Alex Golesh now owns Auburn’s first road win over a No. 1 team since 1994.

    Cajun Commentary: Hot take: Auburn is the most dangerous unranked team in the SEC, and nobody wants to see that quarterback coming downhill in November. Eleven penalties for 85 yards, though? Baby, you won in spite of the flags.

    Gumbo Grade: A+. Road win, No. 1 opponent, walk-off kick, zero turnovers. ร‡a c’est bon, and then some.


    GEORGIA BULLDOGS: One Week on the Throne, Then Into the Pot

    Auburn 27, No. 1 Georgia 24 | Georgia now 6-1 (4-1 SEC) | New AP rank: No. 5

    Cajun roast: Georgia’s stay at No. 1 lasted exactly one week, which is shorter than my cousin’s last diet and only slightly longer than a Mardi Gras parade bead stays on a balcony railing.

    It started like a coronation. Georgia went up 14-0 in the first quarter on a 15-yard Dwight Phillips Jr. run and a 24-yard Gunner Stockton touchdown pass to tight end Lawson Luckie. Then the Dawgs stopped cooking and started burning the rice. Auburn scored 24 straight. Georgia rallied with a 42-yard Peyton Woodring field goal and a gutsy 13-play, 94-yard drive that ended on Stockton’s 4-yard TD pass to London Humphreys to tie it with 2:58 left.

    Then came the self-inflicted stuff. Georgia turned it over three times, and Kirby Smart was blunt about the penalties: “untimely, uncharacteristic and undisciplined.” A late roughing-the-passer flag helped set up the winning kick. Georgia actually outgained Auburn 440-366, with Stockton throwing for 272 yards and two TDs and Craig Dandridge catching 4 balls for 88 yards. Raylen Wilson had 10 tackles and a sack.

    The streaks that died in Athens: nine straight wins over Auburn, and 53 straight wins over unranked teams. Per the AP, No. 1 teams had won 93 straight home games against unranked opponents, going back to 2007. Not anymore.

    Cajun Commentary: Ruthless truth: Georgia is still tied for first in the SEC, and most of the league would trade rรฉsumรฉs with them in a heartbeat. But you don’t get to lose at home as a 19.5-point favorite (DraftKings closing line) and still call yourself the best team in the country with a straight face.

    Gumbo Grade: D+. Outgained the opponent, lost the game. That’s a gumbo with all the right ingredients that somebody left on high heat and walked off to watch the LSU game.


    TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS: Third Saturday in October, and Neyland Keeps Its Streak

    No. 14 Tennessee 26, No. 6 Alabama 10 | Tennessee now 6-1 (3-1 SEC) | New AP rank: No. 11

    Cajun roast: Tennessee kicked four field goals in the first half and still won by 16. That’s like going to the crawfish boil, only eating the corn, and still leaving fuller than everybody else.

    This was a beatdown dressed up in a modest final score. DeSean Bishop ran 32 times for 159 yards and two touchdowns, his third straight 100-yard game. George MacIntyre was steady: 21 of 31 for 197 yards, with Mike Matthews catching a career-high 7 passes for 85 yards. Kicker Cooper Ranvier made four first-half field goals (29, 33, 41 and 34 yards).

    But the defense was the whole roux. Alabama had 201 total yards, 54 rushing, went 2 of 13 on third down, and turned it over four times. Kayin Lee and Dejuan Lane each picked off a pass. Then Tennessee closed it with a 9-minute, 32-second fourth-quarter drive, the longest of the Josh Heupel era, ending on Bishop’s second 5-yard TD. Tennessee has now won three of its last five against Alabama after losing 15 straight. All three wins came at Neyland.

    Cajun Commentary: Hot take: Tennessee is the most complete team in the SEC right now. The quarterback play is “fine,” the running game is a freight train, and that defense is meaner than a cottonmouth in a crawfish trap.

    Gumbo Grade: A. The only thing keeping it from an A+ is settling for field goals four times. Finish those drives, and they’d have needed a mercy rule.


    ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE: The Tide Has Officially Gone Out

    No. 14 Tennessee 26, No. 6 Alabama 10 | Alabama now 5-2 (3-2 SEC) | New AP rank: No. 13

    Cajun roast: Two weeks ago Bama was scoring like a slot machine at the Coushatta. Saturday the offense had the energy of a swamp-tour boat with a dead battery and a gator chewing on the propeller.

    This is the first time Alabama has lost back-to-back regular-season games since 2007. Let that soak in like red beans on a Monday. The Tide managed 201 total yards, went 0 for 7 on third down in the first half and 2 for 13 for the game, lost two fumbles, threw two interceptions, and drew 10 penalties for 68 yards. Keelon Russell’s 19-yard touchdown run and a 42-yard Conor Talty field goal right before halftime were the only points. Then the scoreboard went to camp for the weekend.

    The defense deserved better. Caleb Woodson made 11 tackles, Bray Hubbard 10, and Ivan Taylor got an interception. They held Tennessee to field goals four times in the first half. But you can’t ask a defense to hold the line all day when the offense keeps handing the other team the ball like it’s passing out king cake at the office.

    Cajun Commentary: Ruthless take: Alabama’s two losses came to two very good teams, and they’re still alive for the playoff. But “alive” and “scary” are two different words, and right now nobody in the SEC is scared of this offense. Texas A&M comes to Tuscaloosa next. That’s the ballgame for the season’s mood.

    Gumbo Grade: D. The defense keeps it out of F territory. The offense served a bowl of hot water and called it gumbo.

    Tennessee 26, Alabama 10: Bama had 4 turnovers, 201 yards, 2-of-13 on third down. First back-to-back regular-season losses since 2007. Somebody back the pirogue up to Knoxville, Bama's sinkin'.
    Tennessee 26, Alabama 10: Bama had 4 turnovers, 201 yards, 2-of-13 on third down. First back-to-back regular-season losses since 2007. Somebody back the pirogue up to Knoxville, Bama’s sinkin’.

    FLORIDA GATORS: Rose Up Out of the Swamp and Bit Somebody

    Florida 27, No. 7 Texas 24 | Florida now 5-2 (3-2 SEC) | New AP rank: No. 20

    Cajun roast: Last week Florida got booed at its own homecoming. This week the Gators went into Austin as a 13.5-point dog (DraftKings closing line) and flashed the upside-down horns on the way off the field. That’s a bigger mood swing than my uncle at an LSU-Alabama watch party.

    Quarterback Tramell Jones Jr. made the first start of his college career, in a road game, at a top-10 team, and played like a grown man. He went 22 of 35 for 155 yards and two touchdowns, both to Lacota Dippre, and ran for 41 more. Florida trailed 17-3 in the second quarter, then took over. Dippre’s 7-yard TD made it 17-10 at the half, his 8-yarder capped a 15-play, eight-minute drive in the third, Patrick Durkin kicked a 28-yarder for the lead, and Jadan Baugh (25 carries, 91 yards) punched in an 11-yard touchdown.

    Then the defense, ranked last in the SEC coming in, did something wild: it sacked Arch Manning five times (per the AP), held Texas to 272 total yards and 2 of 10 on third down, and Myles Graham’s strip-sack ended Texas’ last possession. Florida won time of possession 38:11 to 21:49 and didn’t turn it over once. It’s the program’s first road win over a top-10 team since 2012.

    Cajun Commentary: Hot take: first-year coach Jon Sumrall may have just saved Florida’s season. The Gators get a bye, then go to Georgia on Oct. 31. If they bring this defense, the Dawgs had better check under the porch.

    Gumbo Grade: A. Comeback, road upset, first-time starter, no turnovers. ร‡a c’est bon, cher.


    TEXAS LONGHORNS: Most Expensive Pot on the Stove, Nothing Inside It

    Florida 27, No. 7 Texas 24 | Texas now 4-2 (1-2 SEC) | New AP rank: No. 19

    Cajun roast: Texas has the budget of a small oil company and an offense that’s run out of gas two weeks in a row. Somebody check the dipstick in Austin, because something’s leaking.

    Texas led 17-3 in the second quarter, thanks to a 32-yard Raleek Brown touchdown run, a Gianni Spetic field goal and a 63-yard punt-return touchdown by Ryan Niblett. Then the Longhorns went into a crawfish hole and didn’t come out. Texas finished with 13 first downs, 272 total yards, 2 of 10 on third down, and held the ball for under 22 minutes. The one bright spot late was a 62-yard completion to Emmett Mosley V that set up a 9-yard TD pass to Cam Coleman, which only made it a three-point game.

    On defense, Colin Simmons had four tackles for loss and a sack and Justin Cryer made 11 tackles, but Florida’s 15-play and 14-play scoring drives in the second half wore them down. Steve Sarkisian summed it up himself: “We didn’t play good football today. Kind of bled out.”

    Cajun Commentary: Ruthless truth: Texas was No. 1 in the country two weeks ago, and now it’s 1-2 in the SEC and ranked behind Kentucky. That’s not a slump, that’s a whole sinkhole under the camp. Ole Miss comes to Austin next. If that goes sideways, the panic in Austin will be louder than a brass band in a phone booth.

    Gumbo Grade: D. A punt-return touchdown and a fast start were all they had. The rest was a cold roux.


    OLE MISS REBELS: Homecoming Dinner, and Missouri Was the Main Course

    No. 9 Ole Miss 31, No. 13 Missouri 3 | Ole Miss now 5-1 (3-1 SEC) | New AP rank: No. 7

    Cajun roast: Missouri brought over a bunch of former Rebels to make it personal. Ole Miss sent ’em home with a to-go plate and a “thanks for coming, y’all.”

    This one was over by halftime. Trinidad Chambliss accounted for four touchdowns: three passes (10 yards to Caleb Odom, 21 to Horatio Fields, 17 to Caleb Cunningham) and a 5-yard run. He went 20 of 36 for 241 yards. The ground game ran over Missouri like a pickup truck over a fire-ant mound: Kewan Lacy had 122 yards on 16 carries, Makhi Frazier added 101 on 15, and Ole Miss piled up 498 total yards, 257 rushing.

    The defense might’ve been even better. Missouri came in with a back fresh off two straight 200-yard games, and Ole Miss held the whole Tiger offense to 39 rushing yards on 26 carries. Defensive tackle Will Echoles had a sack, two pass breakups and a quarterback hurry. Landon Barnes snagged an interception. Per the AP, the Rebels are now 25-1 at home since 2023.

    Cajun Commentary: Hot take: Ole Miss is the SEC team playing the best football in October, period. They lost one game, at Florida, and that Florida team just won in Austin. Pete Golding’s bunch is cooking with a cast-iron pot now.

    Gumbo Grade: A. Dominant on both lines against a top-15 team. That’s a dark roux, slow-cooked, served hot.


    MISSOURI TIGERS: First-and-Goal at the 2, Zero Points, Long Drive Home

    No. 9 Ole Miss 31, No. 13 Missouri 3 | Missouri now 5-2 (2-2 SEC) | New AP rank: No. 22

    Cajun roast: Missouri had first-and-goal at the 2-yard line and came away with nothing. I’ve seen drunk tourists on Bourbon Street find the end zone faster, and they didn’t even have a map.

    Here’s the moment the game turned. Trailing 7-3 in the second quarter, Missouri had first-and-goal at the Ole Miss 2. Two runs went backward, a pass fell incomplete, and a 23-yard field goal missed. Ole Miss then scored two touchdowns in a row and led 21-3 at halftime. Missouri didn’t reach the red zone again until the final two minutes. The run game, the heart of this team, produced 39 yards on 26 carries.

    There were bright spots. Austin Simmons threw for 339 yards, Donovan Olugbode caught 9 passes for 127 yards, linebacker Nicholas Rodriguez made 13 tackles, and punter Bruno Reus averaged 42.5 yards on seven punts. But an offense that can’t run the ball and can’t score from the 2 is a gumbo pot with a hole in the bottom.

    Cajun Commentary: Ruthless truth: Missouri’s only real problem is that it can’t win away from home against good teams. The Tigers are unbeaten at home, and three of their final four games are in Columbia. Eli Drinkwitz said he won’t wallow. Good, because the swamp doesn’t care about your feelings either.

    Gumbo Grade: D-. Three points against a top-10 team, and no points from the 2. The pot never got to a boil.


    KENTUCKY WILDCATS: The Luckiest Cats in the Bayou, and Now They’re Tied for First

    No. 15 Kentucky 21, Oklahoma 13 | Kentucky now 6-1 (4-1 SEC) | New AP rank: No. 12

    Cajun roast: Kentucky wins games like my Uncle T-Boy wins at bourrรฉ: nobody at the table can explain how, everybody’s mad about it, and he’s still holding the pot at the end of the night.

    Kentucky gained 230 total yards, trailed 13-7 late in the third quarter, and won by eight. The defense did it. The Wildcats intercepted Oklahoma four times: Ty Bryant had two, and Jordan Castell had two, including a 41-yard pick-six with 1:17 left that sealed it. Bryant’s first interception set up the go-ahead drive, which ended on Kenny Minchey’s second touchdown pass of the night. Minchey went 21 of 28 for 158 yards and two TDs, and Grant Godfrey made 15 tackles.

    That’s five straight wins, including back-to-back overtime wins over ranked teams before this one. Kentucky’s only loss was to Alabama, and now the Wildcats are tied with Georgia atop the SEC. Read that sentence again slowly. Yes, Kentucky football.

    Cajun Commentary: Hot take: Kentucky is the best “how in the world” team in America, and that’s a compliment. Zero turnovers, opportunistic defense, and nerves of steel. But 230 yards won’t beat Tennessee or Georgia. Enjoy the view from the top, Cats. Bring a lawn chair, because it might be a short visit.

    Gumbo Grade: A-. A road SEC win built on four takeaways and zero giveaways. The offense brought store-bought potato salad, but the defense cooked the whole meal.


    OKLAHOMA SOONERS: From Beating No. 1 to Handing Out Free Samples

    No. 15 Kentucky 21, Oklahoma 13 | Oklahoma now 3-3 (1-2 SEC) | Unranked

    Cajun roast: One week after knocking off No. 1 Texas, Oklahoma threw four interceptions at home. That’s like winning the Mardi Gras king cake baby and choking on it at the parade.

    The Sooners outgained Kentucky 346-230, had more first downs (19-14), held the ball longer, and lost by eight because they gave the ball away four times through the air, including the pick-six that ended it. Manny Choice caught 5 passes for 98 yards, Isaiah Sategna III added 8 for 83, and Rocky Beers caught a 20-yard touchdown pass right before halftime. Tate Sandell made field goals from 44 and 26 yards.

    The defense was good enough to win. Kentucky had 76 yards and four punts on five straight drives after its opening touchdown, and Jake Kreul had 2.5 sacks and three tackles for loss. But the AP put it plainly: turnovers once again did in the offense. The run game didn’t help, with 76 rushing yards on the night.

    Cajun Commentary: Ruthless truth: the Texas win was a party, and this was the hangover. A 3-3 team with a top-notch defense and an offense that keeps tossing the ball to the other side is a coin flip every week. Oklahoma goes to Starkville next as a 3-point favorite (DraftKings, as of 8:03 PM CT Oct. 22), and yes, I’ll be sweating that one.

    Gumbo Grade: D+. The defense earned a B. The four interceptions dragged the whole pot down.


    LSU TIGERS: Death Valley Served a Full Plate, and Nobody Else Got a Bite

    No. 22 LSU 31, No. 16 Mississippi State 0 | LSU now 5-2 (2-2 SEC) | New AP rank: No. 18

    Cajun roast: LSU fans have spent all season complaining louder than a fais do-do band with a blown speaker. Saturday the Tigers finally gave ’em something else to yell about.

    Credit where it’s due, even from a maroon man. Sam Leavitt played his cleanest game of the season: 31 of 38 for 289 yards, four touchdowns and no interceptions, his first turnover-free game this year, spreading the ball to nine receivers. Jackson Harris caught 6 passes for 85 yards and two TDs (27 and 17 yards), Eugene Wilson III and Malik Elzy caught the others, and Dilin Jones had 84 rushing yards plus 8 catches for 58. LSU led 21-0 at halftime and converted 8 of 13 third downs.

    The defense pitched LSU’s first shutout of an SEC opponent since 2007. TJ Dottery made 12 tackles, Jordan Ross had a sack and 2.5 tackles for loss, and Ty Benefield picked off a pass. State got inside the LSU 40 five times and came away with zero, all five ending on failed fourth downs.

    Fair is fair, though, so here’s the balance. LSU was outrushed 170-90, and the opponent was missing its starting quarterback and top running back. A week ago this team lost in overtime at Kentucky. Lane Kiffin said it himself: no pity for injuries, and he’s right, but nobody should engrave a trophy off one Saturday.

    Cajun Commentary: Hot take: if Leavitt keeps throwing it like this and stops giving the ball away, LSU is the most dangerous two-loss team in the league. If not, they’re the most dangerous two-loss team to their own fans’ blood pressure.

    Gumbo Grade: A. A clean, convincing shutout of a ranked rival. Not an A+, because the run game was a mosquito bite, not a gator bite.


    MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS: My Team, My Pot, My Goose Egg

    No. 22 LSU 31, No. 16 Mississippi State 0 | Mississippi State now 4-2 (2-2 SEC) | Dropped out of the AP Top 25

    Cajun roast: State got inside the LSU 40 five times and came home with zero points. I’ve seen Mawmaw walk out of a casino with more to show for it, and she plays the penny slots with a coupon.

    I promised I’d boil my own team hotter than anybody, so here’s the boil. Mississippi State has now lost two straight, each by more than 30 points, and this one was a shutout. Five drives got inside the LSU 40. All five ended on failed fourth-down tries, including one from the LSU 6-yard line. Not one field goal attempt. State went 0 for 5 on fourth down. Jeff Lebby went for it all afternoon and came home broke. The offense drove inside the 20 just once, went 7 of 15 on third down, and committed 7 penalties for 75 yards.

    To be fair, State was missing its starting quarterback, Kamario Taylor, and its top running back, Fluff Bothwell. Second-year quarterback Parker Puckett made his first career start in Death Valley, of all places, and went 16 of 26 for 121 yards, with a 33-yard run as his best play. Kolin Wilson ran for 70-plus yards, and State actually outrushed LSU 170-90 and held the ball for more than 30 minutes. On defense, Jett Jefferson made 8 tackles and Marcus Williams had a sack and two tackles for loss. But the defense also gave up 31 of 38 passing to Leavitt.

    Cajun Commentary: Ruthless take from the guy who owns the maroon: the injuries are real, but five empty trips inside the 40 is a coaching problem, not a roster problem. Take the points, Coach. Oklahoma comes to Starkville on Saturday, and this team needs a win like a crawfish needs water.

    Gumbo Grade: F. I love y’all, but a shutout is a shutout. Mawmaw made me say it.

    LSU 31, Mississippi State 0: Five trips inside the LSU 40. Five failed fourth downs. Zero points. Mawmaw would've kicked the field goal from the 6, cher.
    LSU 31, Mississippi State 0: Five trips inside the LSU 40. Five failed fourth downs. Zero points. Mawmaw would’ve kicked the field goal from the 6, cher.

    ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS: The Drought Is Over. Somebody Light the Grill.

    Arkansas 31, Vanderbilt 21 | Arkansas now 3-4 (1-3 SEC) | Unranked

    Cajun roast: Arkansas hadn’t won an SEC game since 2024. That’s 14 straight conference losses, which is longer than some marriages in my family.

    Finally. The Hogs went to Nashville as 5.5-point underdogs (DraftKings closing line) and snapped a 14-game SEC losing streak. Joker Johnson started it with a 25-yard pick-six, Cam Settles ran for two touchdowns, and quarterback KJ Jackson went 21 of 31 for 251 yards and ran for 58 yards and a TD, including an 8-yarder that gave Arkansas a 21-14 lead early in the third quarter. Settles’ 3-yard score with nine seconds left in the third broke a 21-21 tie for good. Arkansas ran for 187 yards, gained 438 overall, and didn’t turn it over.

    When Vanderbilt drove to the Arkansas 29 with 3:46 left, Miguel Mitchell picked it off, and Max Gilbert’s 39-yard field goal iced it. Coach Ryan Silverfield said the win “was for the players,” and after two years of this, they earned every bite.

    Cajun Commentary: Hot take: Arkansas just found its identity, and it’s “run the ball and don’t do anything dumb.” Revolutionary, I know. The Hogs get a bye, then host Missouri on Oct. 31. Bring that run game and they might steal another one.

    Gumbo Grade: A-. Road SEC win, zero turnovers, a defensive touchdown and a closing interception. The only thing missing is a passing touchdown. Pass the boudin, Fayetteville.


    VANDERBILT COMMODORES: Favored at Home and Still Got Peeled

    Arkansas 31, Vanderbilt 21 | Vanderbilt now 3-4 (0-4 SEC) | Unranked

    Cajun roast: Vanderbilt was a 5.5-point favorite (DraftKings closing line) at home against a team on a 14-game SEC losing streak, and lost. That’s like losing a staring contest to a crawfish that’s already been boiled.

    Vandy now has four straight losses and is 0-4 in the SEC. Jared Curtis threw for 274 yards and a touchdown, a 24-yarder to Junior Sherrill, who had a big night with 8 catches for 99 yards. Sedrick Alexander and Makhilyn Young each ran for a score, and Bryan Longwell made 13 tackles. But two interceptions, one returned for a touchdown and one on the final real drive, sank the ship.

    The bigger problem is a defense that was supposed to be the strength of this team. Arkansas ran for 187 yards, one week after Ole Miss ran for 196. Clark Lea said, “We’re actively in pursuit of a better performance.” Coach, the whole fan base is in pursuit of that, plus a cold drink.

    Cajun Commentary: Ruthless truth: Vandy’s 3-0 start is a memory now, as faded as last year’s Mardi Gras beads in a pickup truck’s rearview mirror. Next up is a trip to Kentucky. Bring a life jacket.

    Gumbo Grade: D-. You were the favorite. At home. Against the team with the longest losing streak in the league. Yikes, cher.


    TEXAS A&M AGGIES: Scrimmage Saturday at Kyle Field

    Texas A&M 41, The Citadel 0 | Texas A&M now 4-3 (1-3 SEC) | Unranked

    Cajun roast: After scoring six points at Missouri, A&M scheduled a get-well casserole from the FCS. It was delicious. It was also The Citadel. Don’t post the recipe yet.

    A&M did exactly what it was supposed to do. The Aggies scored touchdowns on all four first-half drives, led 28-0 at halftime, and gained 501 total yards. Jamarion Morrow ran for three first-half touchdowns (all short ones, six yards combined), KJ Edwards led all rushers with 116 yards, and Aaron Gregory caught 6 passes for 94 yards and two TDs. Starter Marcel Reed went 8 of 13 for 130 yards and a TD before the backups took over. The defense allowed 183 yards and pitched its second shutout of the season, the first time A&M has had two in the same year since 1993.

    Cajun Commentary: Hot take: this tells us nothing, and that’s fine. A&M is 1-3 in the SEC and heads to Tuscaloosa as a 13.5-point underdog (DraftKings, as of 8:11 AM CT Oct. 23). That’s when we find out if the offense is fixed or just took a nice nap.

    Gumbo Grade: B. You can’t grade higher than a B against an FCS team, but they did everything right. A clean plate is a clean plate.


    SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS: On a Bye, Somewhere Fishing

    Bye week | South Carolina is 3-3 (1-3 SEC) | Unranked

    Cajun roast: South Carolina had the best week in the SEC, because it’s the only team that couldn’t lose. Somebody check on Columbia, they might be at the camp with a cooler and a cane pole.

    The Gamecocks rested up after a 38-19 win at Florida on Oct. 10, and that win looks a whole lot better now that Florida just won in Austin. Next comes the big one: No. 11 Tennessee in Columbia on Saturday, with South Carolina a 2.5-point favorite (DraftKings, as of 8:11 AM CT Oct. 23).

    Cajun Commentary: Hot take: South Carolina at home against Tennessee is the most underrated game of the week. If the Gamecocks bring the Gainesville version, the Vols’ playoff talk gets a whole lot quieter.

    Gumbo Grade: B (for Bye). Undefeated this week. Nobody fumbled, nobody got flagged, nobody got embarrassed. Lucky them.


    The Power Pot: SEC Power Rankings After Week 7

    Ranked by how good each team looks right now, not by brand name or by what the helmets cost. And yes, the maroon team is where it is on merit.

    1. Tennessee (6-1, 3-1) โ€“ Three straight wins, a punishing run game, and a defense that just suffocated Alabama. The only loss was by three to Texas. Hottest pot on the stove.
    2. Ole Miss (5-1, 3-1) โ€“ Held a top-15 team to three points and 39 rushing yards. Playing the best football in the league this month.
    3. Georgia (6-1, 4-1) โ€“ Still tied for first with wins at Alabama and over Oklahoma. The Auburn loss was a home-cooked disaster, but the rรฉsumรฉ is still the best in the room.
    4. Kentucky (6-1, 4-1) โ€“ Tied for first, five straight wins, and more lucky charms than a Lafayette pawn shop. The 45-17 home loss to Bama keeps them from the top three.
    5. Florida (5-2, 3-2) โ€“ Wins over Ole Miss, Texas and Auburn. A week ago they looked like roadkill. Now they’re the scariest gator in the ditch.
    6. LSU (5-2, 2-2) โ€“ Lost by eight at Ole Miss and by one at Kentucky, then shut out a ranked rival. If the turnovers stay gone, look out.
    7. Alabama (5-2, 3-2) โ€“ Two straight losses, but they still have wins over Kentucky and South Carolina. The talent’s there. The offense isn’t.
    8. Auburn (4-2, 2-2) โ€“ Toppled No. 1 on the road. Losses to Florida and Tennessee are respectable. Nobody wants this quarterback in November.
    9. Missouri (5-2, 2-2) โ€“ Unbeaten at home, beaten up on the road. First-and-goal at the 2 for zero points is going to haunt their film room.
    10. Texas (4-2, 1-2) โ€“ No. 1 two weeks ago, now has two straight losses and a 1-2 SEC record. The talent says higher. The tape says “get in line.”
    11. Mississippi State (4-2, 2-2) โ€“ Yes, they beat Missouri head-to-head. They also lost the last two by a combined 64 points. I put ’em here myself, and it hurts like stepping on a crawfish claw barefoot.
    12. Oklahoma (3-3, 1-2) โ€“ A win over Texas and a defense that travels, but an offense that keeps giving the ball away.
    13. South Carolina (3-3, 1-3) โ€“ That 38-19 win at Florida keeps aging well. Tennessee at home will tell us the truth.
    14. Texas A&M (4-3, 1-3) โ€“ Beat up an FCS team. Next up is Tuscaloosa, which is not an FCS team.
    15. Arkansas (3-4, 1-3) โ€“ The streak is dead, the run game is alive, and the Hogs are finally out of the basement.
    16. Vanderbilt (3-4, 0-4) โ€“ Four straight losses and a home loss as the favorite. They’ve got the basement all to themselves now.

    Cajun Commentary: Hot take: Nos. 1 through 4 are so close you couldn’t slide a crawfish tail between them. Tennessee gets the top spot because it’s the one team that looks better every single week. Ask me again after Saturday in Columbia.


    Next Week on the Menu (Saturday, Oct. 24; all times CT)

    Kickoff times and TV from ESPN’s schedule; lines are DraftKings numbers as of 8:11 AM CT Oct. 23 unless noted, and will move.

    • No. 18 LSU at Auburn, 11 a.m. (ABC). Tiger vs. Tiger at Jordan-Hare. LSU is favored by 7 (DraftKings, as of 8:11 AM CT Oct. 23), but Auburn just took down No. 1 in Athens. This is the most dangerous early game on the board, and somebody’s mawmaw is going to need her heart pills.
    • No. 11 Tennessee at South Carolina, 2:30 p.m. (ESPN). South Carolina is a 2.5-point favorite at home (DraftKings, as of 8:11 AM CT Oct. 23), coming off a bye. The Vols’ playoff dreams walk into Williams-Brice. Our sleeper game of the week.
    • Texas A&M at No. 13 Alabama, 2:30 p.m. (ABC). Bama is favored by 13.5 (DraftKings, as of 8:11 AM CT Oct. 23) and desperate. A&M is fresh off a scrimmage. If the Tide lose three straight, folks in Tuscaloosa will start burning sage.
    • Oklahoma at Mississippi State, 2:30 p.m. (SEC Network). OU is a 3-point favorite in Starkville (DraftKings, as of 8:03 PM CT Oct. 22). Both teams need this like a fish needs a bayou. I’m not picking it. I’ll be on my porch, chewing my fingernails.
    • No. 7 Ole Miss at No. 19 Texas, 6:30 p.m. (ABC). Game of the week. Texas is a 3.5-point home favorite, which tells you how much respect Austin still gets with the oddsmakers. Lose this, and the Longhorns’ season goes in the trash with the crawfish shells.
    • Vanderbilt at No. 12 Kentucky, 6:30 p.m. (SEC Network). Kentucky is favored by 10.5 (DraftKings, as of 8:11 AM CT Oct. 23) and has a share of first place to protect. Vandy needs a win like a Cajun needs hot sauce.
    • Bye: Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Missouri. (Florida at Georgia and Missouri at Arkansas are both Oct. 31.)

    Cajun Commentary: Ole Miss-Texas is the marquee game, but LSU-Auburn and Tennessee-South Carolina are the two most likely to blow up the Power Pot. Set the DVR, cher, and hide the remote from your in-laws.

    That’s the gumbo for this week, y’all. Laissez les bons temps rouler, take the points when they’re on the table, and don’t forget the bug spray.

    Gridiron Gumbo: SEC football, seasoned in Southwest Louisiana.


    Sources

    Final scores, box scores, standings, AP rankings (Week 8 poll released Oct. 18), next week’s schedule, and betting lines come from ESPN’s scoreboard, game summaries and standings. Scores were cross-checked with CollegeFootballData and with game recaps from the AP and the schools’ official athletics sites (Auburn, LSU, Florida, Tennessee, Alabama, Ole Miss, Oklahoma, Texas A&M), plus CBS Sports and SECSports.com, all accessed Oct. 18, 2026.

  • Midseason Gumbo Showdown: Grading All 16 SEC Teams at the Halfway Pot

    Midseason Gumbo Showdown: Grading All 16 SEC Teams at the Halfway Pot

    By T-Rohn. Disclosure: Gridiron Gumbo’s owner leans Mississippi State and owns more cowbells than any grown man should. He was not allowed to grade the Bulldogs without a second opinion and a cold drink.

    Six weeks in, the roux is dark, the pot is bubbling, and somebody already burned the rice. With Week 7 on deck, it’s time for the Midseason Gumbo Showdown: every SEC team graded, ranked and seasoned. Records and results below are through Saturday, Oct. 10, per the SEC’s Week 7 release and the Oct. 11 AP poll. Opinions are ours. Facts are not negotiable.

    The Standings, Straight From the Pot

    TeamSECOverall
    Georgia4-06-0
    Alabama3-15-1
    Kentucky3-15-1
    Ole Miss2-14-1
    Mississippi State2-14-1
    Missouri2-15-1
    Tennessee2-15-1
    Florida2-24-2
    Oklahoma1-13-2
    Texas1-14-1
    Auburn1-23-2
    LSU1-24-2
    South Carolina1-33-3
    Texas A&M1-33-3
    Arkansas0-32-4
    Vanderbilt0-33-3
    Source: SEC Week 7 football release (games through Oct. 10, 2026).

    Gumbo Grades: All 16, No Curve

    • Georgia (6-0) โ€” A: Went to Tuscaloosa, won 20-17, and climbed to No. 1 with 66 first-place votes. Kirby’s pot doesn’t boil over; it just keeps simmering until you’re full.
    • Alabama (5-1) โ€” A-: Hung 56 in Starkville and 49 on South Carolina, then lost a 20-17 coin flip to Georgia. Voters kept them at No. 6, which is the poll equivalent of ‘you’re still welcome at the cookout.’
    • Kentucky (5-1) โ€” A: Two 35-34 overtime wins, a road win at Texas A&M, a +7 turnover margin and the highest ranking (No. 15) since 2022. Will Stein goes for it on fourth down like the gas bill is somebody else’s problem.
    • Missouri (5-1) โ€” B+: Allowed 23 total points to Florida and Texas A&M combined. That defense is tighter than a Sunday-school collar.
    • Tennessee (5-1) โ€” B+: Only loss is 20-17 to Texas. The quarterback room is a weekly game of ‘guess who,’ and Heupel’s still winning.
    • Mississippi State (4-1) โ€” B+: Bias alert, cher. Road wins at Minnesota and South Carolina, beat then-No. 19 Missouri 31-24, then got cooked 56-23 by Alabama at home. My cowbells are still muted out of shame.
    • Ole Miss (4-1) โ€” B: Beat LSU 32-24 and dropped 52 on Vandy, but gave up 52 in Gainesville and ranks last in the SEC in run defense. A pass rush with a screen door behind it.
    • Texas (4-1) โ€” B: Beat Ohio State, then lost 27-24 to Oklahoma in Dallas. Preseason hype was a five-alarm pot; it’s currently a solid three.
    • Oklahoma (3-2) โ€” B-: Losses at Michigan and Georgia, then knocked off No. 1 Texas. Venables’ bunch is the cousin who’s broke all year but buys the first round at the wedding.
    • Florida (4-2) โ€” C+: Started 4-0 with a 52-28 beatdown of then-No. 4 Ole Miss, then lost 45-17 at Missouri and 38-19 at home to South Carolina. Sumrall’s gumbo started hot and somebody turned off the burner.
    • LSU (4-2) โ€” C: 0-2 on the road, a 35-34 OT loss at Kentucky, and a 12-spot plunge to No. 22. Kiffin’s trick plays are fun until the red zone turns into a field-goal buffet.
    • Auburn (3-2) โ€” C: Lost 44-39 to Florida and 24-14 at Tennessee, beat Vandy 21-15. Golesh’s offense keeps forgetting the first quarter exists.
    • South Carolina (3-3) โ€” C-: Blew a 17-point lead to Kentucky and a 16-point lead to Mississippi State, then finally closed one out, 38-19 in Gainesville. Shane Beamer has found the brakes; now try using them early.
    • Texas A&M (3-3) โ€” D+: Scored six points in each of its last two road games (35-6 at LSU, 27-6 at Missouri). Kyle Field deserves more than a pair of field goals per trip.
    • Vanderbilt (3-3) โ€” D+: 3-0 in non-conference, 0-3 in the SEC, and on a three-game skid. Somebody check the pantry, the magic seasoning ran out.
    • Arkansas (2-4) โ€” D: 0-3 in the league, scoring 7 at A&M and 17 against Tennessee. The Hogs’ offense has been slow-cooked into mush.

    The Midseason Power Pot

    1. Georgia โ€” The only unbeaten SEC team, and they got there through Bryant-Denny.
    2. Alabama โ€” One three-point loss to the No. 1 team. Still the deepest roster in the pot.
    3. Kentucky โ€” Earned it. Five wins, two OT escapes, one loss to Alabama.
    4. Missouri โ€” The best defense in the league right now, full stop.
    5. Tennessee โ€” 5-1 with a QB question. Third Saturday in October decides a lot.
    6. Texas โ€” The Ohio State win still counts. The OU loss still stings.
    7. Ole Miss โ€” Explosive passing game, leaky run defense. Mizzou is coming to test it.
    8. Mississippi State โ€” Ranked No. 16 and earned it, but the Alabama tape and a QB health question keep them here. (Yes, I wanted them higher. No, I didn’t.)
    9. Oklahoma โ€” Beat Texas, but zero true road wins.
    10. Florida โ€” Two straight losses, still has Baugh.
    11. LSU โ€” Talent says higher. Results say this.
    12. Auburn โ€” Competitive, not dangerous yet.
    13. South Carolina โ€” Finally closed a game. Bye week came at the right time.
    14. Texas A&M โ€” Must find an offense on the road.
    15. Vanderbilt โ€” Saturday against Arkansas is a must-win.
    16. Arkansas โ€” See above, from the other sideline.

    Who’s For Real, Who’s a Fraud

    For real:

    • Kentucky. Two coin-flip OT wins can be luck. A +7 turnover margin and a road win at A&M says it’s a habit.
    • Missouri’s defense. Held Florida’s Jadan Baugh, the SEC’s rushing-TD leader, to 13 yards. That’s not a fluke, that’s a lockdown.
    • Georgia. Thin at running back with injuries and still No. 1. That’s what depth looks like.

    Fraud watch (prove us wrong, please):

    • Ole Miss’s run defense. Roughly 176 rush yards allowed per game, last in the SEC. Missouri’s Jamal Roberts is coming off back-to-back 200-yard games. Gulp.
    • Florida’s 4-0 start. The Ole Miss win was real; the last two weeks were too.
    • LSU’s ranking. No. 22 with zero road wins. Death Valley can’t play every game.

    Midseason Awards

    • MVP: Missouri RB Jamal Roberts. Back-to-back 200-yard rushing games for a 5-1 team. Honorable mention, with full bias disclosure: Mississippi State QB Kamario Taylor (1,450 pass yards, 17 TD, 4 INT) โ€” wishing him a quick recovery from the foot injury he suffered against Alabama.
    • Biggest surprise: Kentucky. First-year coach Will Stein has the Wildcats 5-1 and at their highest AP ranking since 2022.
    • Biggest letdown: Texas A&M. 3-3, 1-3 in the SEC, 12 total points in two road league games.
    • Best game: Georgia 20, Alabama 17. A No. 1-ranking game in Tuscaloosa decided by three. Runner-up: Kentucky 35, LSU 34 (OT), in which Lexington’s fourth-down nerve outlasted Kiffin’s gadget bag.

    Second-Half Bold Predictions

    These are predictions, not facts. Bookmark this and laugh at us in December.

    • Georgia reaches the SEC title game unbeaten in league play โ€” and it’s closer than anyone in Athens wants to admit.
    • Kentucky gets to eight regular-season wins. Will Stein keeps going for it on fourth down, and we keep sweating.
    • Missouri wins in Oxford this Saturday, and the Death Row defense becomes the SEC’s most-quoted nickname by November.
    • Texas A&M finishes .500 or better, because a coaching staff that talented can’t keep scoring six on the road.
    • At least one of Vanderbilt or Arkansas wins two SEC games the rest of the way. (It starts Saturday night in Nashville.)
    • Mississippi State is bowl eligible by Halloween (Oklahoma visits Starkville Oct. 24, then it’s a trip to Texas) โ€” and yes, I’ll be ringing every one of those cowbells. Mostly the dented ones.

    Gumbo’s Picks Record: The Honest Ledger

    We promised to keep the receipts public. Our pick tracker currently holds our eight Week 7 official picks (Texas, LSU, Texas A&M, Alabama, Georgia, Missouri as the upset special, Vanderbilt and Oklahoma). None have been graded yet, so the official Gridiron Gumbo record is 0-0 straight up, 0-0 against the spread, 0-0 on totals. Not hiding anything, cher: the tracker starts this week, and you’ll see every win and every faceplant right here.

    Note, from one Mississippi State man to the rest of you: we picked LSU over the Bulldogs this week. Neutrality hurts. The cowbells have been informed.

    Sources: SEC Week 7 football release, AP Top 25 (Oct. 11, 2026), Sports-Reference, team and press reports. Injury statuses can change; check Thursday’s SEC availability report.

  • Vanderbilt Loses Backup QB Blaze Berlowitz, Two Linemen Before Arkansas Visits Nashville

    Vanderbilt Loses Backup QB Blaze Berlowitz, Two Linemen Before Arkansas Visits Nashville

    By T-Rohn. Disclosure: Gridiron Gumbo’s owner leans Mississippi State, which means he has no dog in this fight and a deep personal understanding of what a rough October feels like.

    Result update (Oct. 22, 2026), CONFIRMED: Arkansas won 31-21 at Vanderbilt on Oct. 17, snapping the Razorbacks’ 14-game SEC losing streak, per ESPN and the AP recap. Our pick, Vanderbilt 28-20, was a miss, and it is logged as a miss in our pick tracker.

    Vanderbilt’s week started the way a crawfish boil ends when somebody forgets the lid: hot, messy and short on the good stuff. The Commodores are coming off a 52-17 home loss to Ole Miss, and on Tuesday coach Clark Lea confirmed three injuries that will keep key depth pieces out when Arkansas comes to FirstBank Stadium on Saturday.

    Blaze Berlowitz: Broken Collarbone, Unbroken Toughness

    Backup quarterback Blaze Berlowitz broke his collarbone late in the Ole Miss game and had surgery Monday. Lea says he’ll be out about a month.

    Berlowitz came in after the game was decided and led a touchdown drive. Along the way he took a hit on a sideline run near the Rebels’ 12 that drew an unnecessary roughness flag. Then he stayed in, threw one more pass and handed off twice before he left. “Just the toughness to have a broken collar bone and finish taking three snaps including a pass is pretty remarkable,” Lea said. We make jokes for a living around here, and there’s nothing funny about that. The man finished the drive. Respect.

    To be clear, Berlowitz was not Saturday’s starter. Five-star freshman Jared Curtis took the job during the Delaware game. Berlowitz started the first two games, then got the start at Georgia while Curtis was hurt, going 12-for-23 for 190 yards with a touchdown and an interception. On the season he’s 28-for-53 for 386 yards and a score, plus 110 rushing yards. He even volunteered to play receiver after losing the QB job. That’s the kind of teammate who brings the ice chest and the boudin to the tailgate.

    Who’s Holding the Clipboard Now?

    With Berlowitz out, the backup job behind Curtis goes to junior Whit Muschamp or sophomore Jack Elliott. Muschamp appeared to have the edge coming out of fall camp, and his only passing work this season was two attempts against Georgia. Yes, he’s that Muschamp family. We’ll give Vandy fans a minute to decide whether that last name makes them feel better or reach for the Pepto.

    The Big Fellas Up Front

    Gunner Givens, an offensive lineman, needs season-ending hip surgery. Lea called it about a six-month recovery. The good news is that Givens’ waiver for an extra season of eligibility has already been approved, so he gets another year in black and gold.

    Offensive lineman Mitchell Smith, who also missed the Ole Miss game, will have a procedure to clean up his knee. Lea expects him back “hopefully after the bye week,” so he’ll miss a couple of games.

    Losing two linemen in one week is how a decent gumbo turns into soup. It’s still edible, but your grandmother is going to say something.

    Up Next: The SEC Cellar Bowl

    Arkansas (2-4, 0-3 SEC) at Vanderbilt (3-3, 0-3 SEC)
    Saturday, Oct. 17 ยท 6 p.m. CT ยท ESPN2 ยท FirstBank Stadium, Nashville (Vanderbilt’s Homecoming)

    REPORTED: Vanderbilt was a 6.5-point favorite with a 49.5 total at BetMGM, as of Oct. 16, 2026 (BetMGM). Lines are for entertainment; see our picks disclaimer. Both teams are winless in SEC play, so somebody gets out of the basement Saturday night and somebody gets to keep the folding chair down there.

    Arkansas comes in having lost 34-7 at Texas A&M and 24-17 to Tennessee, and the Hogs’ offense has been about as productive as a nutria on a treadmill. Vandy, meanwhile, won its three nonconference games and then dropped three straight to Auburn, Georgia and Ole Miss. Arkansas leads the series 7-3, but Vanderbilt won the last meeting 45-31 in 2018. The Commodores have never beaten the Razorbacks at home, and they last hosted them in 2011, back when your phone still had a keyboard.

    Players to watch for Vandy: WR Junior Sherrill (529 receiving yards, fourth in the SEC, with a catch in 43 straight games, the longest active streak in FBS), RB Sedrick Alexander (25 career rushing TDs, third in school history) and LB CJ Heard (team-high 43 tackles and two forced fumbles).

    Our official Week 7 pick: Vanderbilt 28, Arkansas 20. The Commodores win, and by our numbers they thinly cover the six. It’ll be ugly, so turn on the lights, stir the pot and keep the antacids handy.

    Sources

    Correction (Oct. 22, 2026): An earlier version described the line as about a 6-point favorite at most books with a total around 50, without naming a sportsbook. It now cites BetMGM. We also added the final result.

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